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The Dave Daniels 2024 Bowl Pool
ZTout Basketball Site
2024 ZTOUT NCAA BOWL PREDICTIONS
Note: Actual Lines below taken from DraftKings CO 01/20/2025 - Final
Results
Daily Lines
===== ZTout Bowl Daily predictions:
===== Completed Bowl Games Summary:
== 2024-12-14 Army Navy Game
Army
Record: 10-1
AASM+HCA Rank: 52 ( 5.892)
Actual Line: -6.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -5.2322
Massey Rank: 35
Massey Points: 24.0000
Massey Line: -5.0000
Sagarin Rank: 51
Sagarin Points: 25.3900
Sagarin Line: -5.7300
Pred. Tr. Line: -6.1345
DRating Rank: 32
DRating Points: 27.7000
DRating Line: -6.5000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 24.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 34
Z Combo Points: 25.2725
Z Combo Line: -5.2924
Navy
Record: 7-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 66 ( 0.659)
Actual Line: +6.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +5.2322
Massey Rank: 64
Massey Points: 19.0000
Massey Line: +5.0000
Sagarin Rank: 72
Sagarin Points: 19.6600
Sagarin Line: +5.7300
DRating Rank: 71
DRating Points: 21.2000
DRating Line: +6.5000
Pred. Tr. Line: +6.1345
Bobblehead Expert Points: 20.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 54
Z Combo Points: 19.9650
Z Combo Line: +5.2924
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Navy
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 0.7678
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Navy
Massey Line Differential: 1.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 1.00029000
Massey Total: 43.0000
Actual O/U: 39.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Navy
Sagarin Line Differential: 0.2700
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 0.27000000
Sagarin Total: 45.0500
Actual O/U: 39.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Favorite Army
DRating Line Differential: 0.5000
DRating Confidence Rating: 0.50039000
DRating Total: 48.9000
Actual O/U: 39.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite Army
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 0.1345
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 0.13450000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 1.94590000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 5.90000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Navy
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 2.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 2.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 44.0000
Actual O/U: 39.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Navy
Z Combo Line Differential: 0.7076
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 0.82573806
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 0.70756932
Z Combo Total: 45.2375
Actual O/U: 39.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Army 13, Navy 31
AASM+HCA Pick Navy covered (win)
Massey Pick Navy covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Navy covered (win)
DRating Pick Army did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Army did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Navy covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Navy covered (win)
Game went over 39.5
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
DRating O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
== 2024-12-14 Veterans
South Alabama
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 77 (-3.679)
Actual Line: -7.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -11.6404
Massey Rank: 87
Massey Points: 35.2500
Massey Line: -11.2500
Sagarin Rank: 85
Sagarin Points: 37.7700
Sagarin Line: -11.1300
Pred. Tr. Line: -9.5066
DRating Rank: 74
DRating Points: 34.1500
DRating Line: -9.5500
Bobblehead Expert Points: 35.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -11.0000
Z Combo Rank: 64
Z Combo Points: 35.5425
Z Combo Line: -10.9141
Western Michigan
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 112 (-15.070)
Actual Line: +7.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +11.6404
Massey Rank: 115
Massey Points: 24.0000
Massey Line: +11.2500
Sagarin Rank: 122
Sagarin Points: 26.6400
Sagarin Line: +11.1300
DRating Rank: 101
DRating Points: 24.6000
DRating Line: +9.5500
Pred. Tr. Line: +9.5066
Bobblehead Expert Points: 24.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +11.0000
Z Combo Rank: 90
Z Combo Points: 24.8100
Z Combo Line: +10.8141
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite South Alabama
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 4.1404
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite South Alabama
Massey Line Differential: 3.7500
Massey Confidence Rating: 3.75028000
Massey Total: 59.2500
Actual O/U: 57.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite South Alabama
Sagarin Line Differential: 3.6300
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 3.63000000
Sagarin Total: 64.4100
Actual O/U: 57.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Favorite South Alabama
DRating Line Differential: 2.0500
DRating Confidence Rating: 2.05027000
DRating Total: 58.7500
Actual O/U: 57.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite South Alabama
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 2.0066
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 2.00660000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 5.01050000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -9.77240000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite South Alabama
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 3.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 3.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 59.0000
Actual O/U: 57.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite South Alabama
Z Combo Line Differential: 3.4141
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 0.71484695
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 3.41407034
Z Combo Total: 60.3525
Actual O/U: 57.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score South Alabama 30, Western Michigan 23
AASM+HCA Pick South Alabama did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick South Alabama did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick South Alabama did not cover (loss)
DRating Pick South Alabama did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick South Alabama did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick South Alabama did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick South Alabama did not cover (loss)
Game went under 57.0
Massey O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
DRating O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
== 2024-12-17 Frisco
Memphis
Record: 9-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 68 (-0.018)
Actual Line: -5.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +2.1732
Massey Rank: 46
Massey Points: 28.5000
Massey Line: +2.7500
Sagarin Rank: 48
Sagarin Points: 31.1300
Sagarin Line: -2.1900
Pred. Tr. Line: -1.8031
DRating Rank: 55
DRating Points: 32.8000
DRating Line: -3.2500
Bobblehead Expert Points: 41.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -14.0000
Z Combo Rank: 43
Z Combo Points: 33.3575
Z Combo Line: -2.9034
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
West Virginia
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 62 ( 2.405)
Actual Line: +5.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -2.1732
Massey Rank: 45
Massey Points: 31.2500
Massey Line: -2.7500
Sagarin Rank: 57
Sagarin Points: 28.9400
Sagarin Line: +2.1900
DRating Rank: 58
DRating Points: 29.5500
DRating Line: +3.2500
Pred. Tr. Line: +1.8031
Bobblehead Expert Points: 27.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +14.0000
Z Combo Rank: 44
Z Combo Points: 29.1850
Z Combo Line: +2.8034
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.500
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog West Virginia
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 7.1732
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog West Virginia
Massey Line Differential: 7.7500
Massey Confidence Rating: 7.75001000
Massey Total: 59.7500
Actual O/U: 58.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog West Virginia
Sagarin Line Differential: 2.8100
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 2.81000000
Sagarin Total: 60.0700
Actual O/U: 58.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog West Virginia
DRating Line Differential: 1.7500
DRating Confidence Rating: 1.75003000
DRating Total: 62.3500
Actual O/U: 58.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog West Virginia
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 3.1969
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 3.19690000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.97180000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -1.09000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Memphis
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 9.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 9.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 68.0000
Actual O/U: 58.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog West Virginia
Z Combo Line Differential: 2.0966
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 6.02489059
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 2.09664259
Z Combo Total: 62.5425
Actual O/U: 58.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Memphis 42, West Virginia 37
AASM+HCA Pick West Virginia pushed
Massey Pick West Virginia pushed
Sagarin Pick West Virginia pushed
DRating Pick West Virginia pushed
Pred. Tr. Line Pick West Virginia pushed
Bobblehead Expert Pick Memphis pushed
Z Combo Pick West Virginia pushed
Game went over 58.5
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
DRating O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
== 2024-12-18 Boca Raton
James Madison
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 60 ( 2.688)
Actual Line: -7.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -15.4280
Massey Rank: 73
Massey Points: 28.0000
Massey Line: -8.0000
Sagarin Rank: 71
Sagarin Points: 28.4900
Sagarin Line: -8.5300
Pred. Tr. Line: -9.4176
DRating Rank: 66
DRating Points: 28.4000
DRating Line: -4.9000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 26.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +2.0000
Z Combo Rank: 54
Z Combo Points: 27.7225
Z Combo Line: -6.9716
Western Kentucky
Record: 7-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 102 (-12.740)
Actual Line: +7.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +15.4280
Massey Rank: 95
Massey Points: 20.0000
Massey Line: +8.0000
Sagarin Rank: 111
Sagarin Points: 19.9600
Sagarin Line: +8.5300
DRating Rank: 99
DRating Points: 23.5000
DRating Line: +4.9000
Pred. Tr. Line: +9.4176
Bobblehead Expert Points: 28.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -2.0000
Z Combo Rank: 81
Z Combo Points: 22.8650
Z Combo Line: +6.9716
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite James Madison
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 8.4280
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite James Madison
Massey Line Differential: 1.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 1.00022000
Massey Total: 48.0000
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite James Madison
Sagarin Line Differential: 1.5300
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 1.53000000
Sagarin Total: 48.4500
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Western Kentucky
DRating Line Differential: 2.1000
DRating Confidence Rating: 2.10033000
DRating Total: 51.9000
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite James Madison
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 2.4176
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 2.41760000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.45250000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 9.43000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Western Kentucky
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 9.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 9.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 54.0000
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Western Kentucky
Z Combo Line Differential: 0.0284
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 5.65293244
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 0.02839793
Z Combo Total: 50.5875
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score James Madison 27, Western Kentucky 17
AASM+HCA Pick James Madison covered (win)
Massey Pick James Madison covered (win)
Sagarin Pick James Madison covered (win)
DRating Pick Western Kentucky did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick James Madison covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Western Kentucky did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Western Kentucky did not cover (loss)
Game went under 49.5
Massey O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
DRating O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
== 2024-12-18 LA Bowl
California
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 54 ( 5.413)
Actual Line: +3.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -0.0873
Massey Rank: 61
Massey Points: 27.0000
Massey Line: +3.0000
Sagarin Rank: 64
Sagarin Points: 23.3400
Sagarin Line: +3.0300
Pred. Tr. Line: -3.7046
DRating Rank: 60
DRating Points: 27.5000
DRating Line: -1.2000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 31.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 47
Z Combo Points: 27.2100
Z Combo Line: +1.0285
UNLV
Record: 9-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 53 ( 5.500)
Actual Line: -3.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +0.0873
Massey Rank: 50
Massey Points: 24.0000
Massey Line: -3.0000
Sagarin Rank: 51
Sagarin Points: 26.3700
Sagarin Line: -3.0300
DRating Rank: 36
DRating Points: 28.7000
DRating Line: +1.2000
Pred. Tr. Line: +3.7046
Bobblehead Expert Points: 35.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 38
Z Combo Points: 28.5175
Z Combo Line: -1.0285
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog California
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 3.5873
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog California
Massey Line Differential: 0.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 0.50011000
Massey Total: 51.0000
Actual O/U: 46.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog California
Sagarin Line Differential: 6.5300
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 6.53000000
Sagarin Total: 49.7100
Actual O/U: 46.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog California
DRating Line Differential: 4.7000
DRating Confidence Rating: 4.70024000
DRating Total: 56.2000
Actual O/U: 46.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog California
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 7.2046
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 7.20460000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 4.57050000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 3.40500000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog California
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 7.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 7.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 66.0000
Actual O/U: 46.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog California
Z Combo Line Differential: 4.5285
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 2.46328962
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 4.52854627
Z Combo Total: 55.7275
Actual O/U: 46.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score California 13, UNLV 24
AASM+HCA Pick California did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick California did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick California did not cover (loss)
DRating Pick California did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick California did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick California did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick California did not cover (loss)
Game went under 46.0
Massey O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
DRating O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
== 2024-12-19 New Orleans
Georgia Southern
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 77 (-4.170)
Actual Line: -4.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -6.3922
Massey Rank: 73
Massey Points: 27.2500
Massey Line: -6.5000
Sagarin Rank: 78
Sagarin Points: 25.3100
Sagarin Line: -7.2500
Pred. Tr. Line: -5.3084
DRating Rank: 74
DRating Points: 31.5500
DRating Line: -7.3000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 38.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -17.0000
Z Combo Rank: 60
Z Combo Points: 30.5275
Z Combo Line: -8.8884
Sam Houston St.
Record: 9-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 94 (-10.062)
Actual Line: +4.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +6.3922
Massey Rank: 87
Massey Points: 20.7500
Massey Line: +6.5000
Sagarin Rank: 110
Sagarin Points: 18.0600
Sagarin Line: +7.2500
DRating Rank: 114
DRating Points: 24.2500
DRating Line: +7.3000
Pred. Tr. Line: +5.3084
Bobblehead Expert Points: 21.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +17.0000
Z Combo Rank: 81
Z Combo Points: 21.0150
Z Combo Line: +8.6884
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Georgia Southern
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 1.8922
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Georgia Southern
Massey Line Differential: 2.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 2.00014000
Massey Total: 48.0000
Actual O/U: 48.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite Georgia Southern
Sagarin Line Differential: 2.7500
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 2.75000000
Sagarin Total: 43.3700
Actual O/U: 48.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
DRating Diff Pick: Favorite Georgia Southern
DRating Line Differential: 2.8000
DRating Confidence Rating: 2.80040000
DRating Total: 55.8000
Actual O/U: 48.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite Georgia Southern
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 0.8084
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 0.80840000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.56170000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -5.11500000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Georgia Southern
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 12.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 12.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 59.0000
Actual O/U: 48.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite Georgia Southern
Z Combo Line Differential: 4.3884
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 4.07285907
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 4.38843950
Z Combo Total: 51.5425
Actual O/U: 48.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Georgia Southern 26, Sam Houston St. 31
AASM+HCA Pick Georgia Southern did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick Georgia Southern did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick Georgia Southern did not cover (loss)
DRating Pick Georgia Southern did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Georgia Southern did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Georgia Southern did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Georgia Southern did not cover (loss)
Game went over 48.5
Massey O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
DRating O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
== 2024-12-20 Cure
Ohio
Record: 9-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 69 (-0.552)
Actual Line: -6.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -3.5907
Massey Rank: 68
Massey Points: 31.0000
Massey Line: -3.0000
Sagarin Rank: 66
Sagarin Points: 29.5200
Sagarin Line: -3.1800
Pred. Tr. Line: -2.9940
DRating Rank: 73
DRating Points: 26.7000
DRating Line: -1.9000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 31.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -2.0000
Z Combo Rank: 55
Z Combo Points: 29.5550
Z Combo Line: -2.7341
Jacksonville St.
Record: 9-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 77 (-4.142)
Actual Line: +6.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +3.5907
Massey Rank: 83
Massey Points: 28.0000
Massey Line: +3.0000
Sagarin Rank: 77
Sagarin Points: 26.3400
Sagarin Line: +3.1800
DRating Rank: 100
DRating Points: 24.8000
DRating Line: +1.9000
Pred. Tr. Line: +2.9940
Bobblehead Expert Points: 29.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +2.0000
Z Combo Rank: 67
Z Combo Points: 27.0350
Z Combo Line: +2.7341
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Jacksonville St.
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 2.4093
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Jacksonville St.
Massey Line Differential: 3.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 3.00015000
Massey Total: 59.0000
Actual O/U: 57.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Jacksonville St.
Sagarin Line Differential: 2.8200
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 2.82000000
Sagarin Total: 55.8600
Actual O/U: 57.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Jacksonville St.
DRating Line Differential: 4.1000
DRating Confidence Rating: 4.10027000
DRating Total: 51.5000
Actual O/U: 57.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Jacksonville St.
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 3.0060
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 3.00600000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.49180000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -2.91650000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Jacksonville St.
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 4.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 4.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 60.0000
Actual O/U: 57.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Jacksonville St.
Z Combo Line Differential: 3.2659
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 0.66902417
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 3.26585441
Z Combo Total: 56.5900
Actual O/U: 57.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Under
== Final Score Ohio 30, Jacksonville St. 27
AASM+HCA Pick Jacksonville St. covered (win)
Massey Pick Jacksonville St. covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Jacksonville St. covered (win)
DRating Pick Jacksonville St. covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Jacksonville St. covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Jacksonville St. covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Jacksonville St. covered (win)
Game went under 57.5
Massey O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
DRating O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
== 2024-12-20 Gasparilla
Florida
Record: 6-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 19 (17.069)
Actual Line: -10.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -9.1739
Massey Rank: 21
Massey Points: 31.0000
Massey Line: -8.5000
Sagarin Rank: 20
Sagarin Points: 31.0500
Sagarin Line: -8.5800
Pred. Tr. Line: -5.0752
DRating Rank: 25
DRating Points: 29.3000
DRating Line: -8.6000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 31.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -14.0000
Z Combo Rank: 17
Z Combo Points: 30.5875
Z Combo Line: -9.7708
Tulane
Record: 8-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 41 ( 9.395)
Actual Line: +10.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +9.1739
Massey Rank: 52
Massey Points: 22.5000
Massey Line: +8.5000
Sagarin Rank: 42
Sagarin Points: 22.4700
Sagarin Line: +8.5800
DRating Rank: 41
DRating Points: 20.7000
DRating Line: +8.6000
Pred. Tr. Line: +5.0752
Bobblehead Expert Points: 17.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +14.0000
Z Combo Rank: 35
Z Combo Points: 20.6675
Z Combo Line: +9.1708
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -1.500
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Tulane
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 1.3261
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Tulane
Massey Line Differential: 2.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 2.00031000
Massey Total: 53.5000
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Tulane
Sagarin Line Differential: 1.9200
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 1.92000000
Sagarin Total: 53.5200
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Tulane
DRating Line Differential: 1.9000
DRating Confidence Rating: 1.90016000
DRating Total: 50.0000
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Tulane
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 5.4248
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 5.42480000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 5.47060000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 4.37000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Florida
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 3.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 3.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 48.0000
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Tulane
Z Combo Line Differential: 0.7292
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 2.12819985
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 0.72922685
Z Combo Total: 51.2550
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Florida 33, Tulane 8
AASM+HCA Pick Tulane did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick Tulane did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick Tulane did not cover (loss)
DRating Pick Tulane did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Tulane did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Florida covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Tulane did not cover (loss)
Game went under 49.5
Massey O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
DRating O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
== 2024-12-20 CFP First1
Notre Dame
Record: 11-1
AASM+HCA Rank: 3 (29.626)
Actual Line: -6.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -5.1416
Massey Rank: 3
Massey Points: 35.0000
Massey Line: -12.0000
Sagarin Rank: 1
Sagarin Points: 35.2700
Sagarin Line: -10.9700
Pred. Tr. Line: -8.3498
DRating Rank: 10
DRating Points: 26.6000
DRating Line: -4.8000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 31.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -10.0000
Z Combo Rank: 3
Z Combo Points: 31.9675
Z Combo Line: -8.5823
Indiana
Record: 10-1
AASM+HCA Rank: 5 (26.894)
Actual Line: +6.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +5.1416
Massey Rank: 10
Massey Points: 23.0000
Massey Line: +12.0000
Sagarin Rank: 11
Sagarin Points: 24.3000
Sagarin Line: +10.9700
DRating Rank: 9
DRating Points: 21.8000
DRating Line: +4.8000
Pred. Tr. Line: +8.3498
Bobblehead Expert Points: 21.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +10.0000
Z Combo Rank: 7
Z Combo Points: 22.5250
Z Combo Line: +8.5823
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Indiana
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 1.3584
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Notre Dame
Massey Line Differential: 5.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 5.50007000
Massey Total: 58.0000
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite Notre Dame
Sagarin Line Differential: 4.4700
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 4.47000000
Sagarin Total: 59.5700
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Indiana
DRating Line Differential: 1.7000
DRating Confidence Rating: 1.70001000
DRating Total: 48.4000
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite Notre Dame
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 1.8498
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 1.84980000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 5.97690000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 7.18500000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Notre Dame
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 3.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 3.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 52.0000
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Pick
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite Notre Dame
Z Combo Line Differential: 2.0823
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 3.01781715
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 2.08231319
Z Combo Total: 54.4925
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Notre Dame 27, Indiana 17
AASM+HCA Pick Indiana did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick Notre Dame covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Notre Dame covered (win)
DRating Pick Indiana did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Notre Dame covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Notre Dame covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Notre Dame covered (win)
Game went under 52.0
Massey O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
DRating O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of PICKEM (no bet)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
== 2024-12-21 CFP First2
Penn St.
Record: 11-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 12 (22.144)
Actual Line: -8.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -1.1011
Massey Rank: 8
Massey Points: 33.0000
Massey Line: -9.0000
Sagarin Rank: 8
Sagarin Points: 31.2100
Sagarin Line: -6.2400
Pred. Tr. Line: -5.3059
DRating Rank: 5
DRating Points: 29.4000
DRating Line: -7.8000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 34.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -11.0000
Z Combo Rank: 6
Z Combo Points: 31.9025
Z Combo Line: -7.0282
SMU
Record: 9-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 11 (23.452)
Actual Line: +8.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +1.1011
Massey Rank: 15
Massey Points: 24.0000
Massey Line: +9.0000
Sagarin Rank: 10
Sagarin Points: 24.9700
Sagarin Line: +6.2400
DRating Rank: 14
DRating Points: 21.6000
DRating Line: +7.8000
Pred. Tr. Line: +5.3059
Bobblehead Expert Points: 23.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +11.0000
Z Combo Rank: 10
Z Combo Points: 23.3925
Z Combo Line: +7.0282
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog SMU
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 6.8989
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Penn St.
Massey Line Differential: 1.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 1.00007000
Massey Total: 57.0000
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog SMU
Sagarin Line Differential: 1.7600
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 1.76000000
Sagarin Total: 56.1800
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog SMU
DRating Line Differential: 0.2000
DRating Confidence Rating: 0.20009000
DRating Total: 51.0000
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog SMU
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 2.6941
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 2.69410000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.24180000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 5.44000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Penn St.
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 3.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 3.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 57.0000
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog SMU
Z Combo Line Differential: 0.9718
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 3.34696619
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 0.97178462
Z Combo Total: 55.2950
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Penn St. 38, SMU 10
AASM+HCA Pick SMU did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick Penn St. covered (win)
Sagarin Pick SMU did not cover (loss)
DRating Pick SMU did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick SMU did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Penn St. covered (win)
Z Combo Pick SMU did not cover (loss)
Game went under 52.0
Massey O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
DRating O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
== 2024-12-21 CFP First3
Texas
Record: 11-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 1 (30.856)
Actual Line: -13.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -14.3047
Massey Rank: 5
Massey Points: 34.0000
Massey Line: -13.0000
Sagarin Rank: 4
Sagarin Points: 31.9500
Sagarin Line: -11.7200
Pred. Tr. Line: -10.4534
DRating Rank: 4
DRating Points: 32.2000
DRating Line: -11.3000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 24.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -8.0000
Z Combo Rank: 2
Z Combo Points: 30.5375
Z Combo Line: -11.6649
Clemson
Record: 9-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 16 (18.960)
Actual Line: +13.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +14.3047
Massey Rank: 13
Massey Points: 21.0000
Massey Line: +13.0000
Sagarin Rank: 18
Sagarin Points: 20.2300
Sagarin Line: +11.7200
DRating Rank: 15
DRating Points: 20.9000
DRating Line: +11.3000
Pred. Tr. Line: +10.4534
Bobblehead Expert Points: 16.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +8.0000
Z Combo Rank: 12
Z Combo Points: 19.5325
Z Combo Line: +11.6649
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Texas
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 0.8047
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Clemson
Massey Line Differential: 0.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 0.50008000
Massey Total: 55.0000
Actual O/U: 50.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Clemson
Sagarin Line Differential: 1.7800
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 1.78000000
Sagarin Total: 52.1800
Actual O/U: 50.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Clemson
DRating Line Differential: 2.2000
DRating Confidence Rating: 2.20011000
DRating Total: 53.1000
Actual O/U: 50.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Clemson
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 3.0466
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 3.04660000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.26840000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 10.91000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Clemson
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 5.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 5.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 40.0000
Actual O/U: 50.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Clemson
Z Combo Line Differential: 1.8351
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 2.11276884
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 1.83505072
Z Combo Total: 50.0700
Actual O/U: 50.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Under
== Final Score Texas 38, Clemson 24
AASM+HCA Pick Texas covered (win)
Massey Pick Clemson did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick Clemson did not cover (loss)
DRating Pick Clemson did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Clemson did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Clemson did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Clemson did not cover (loss)
Game went over 50.5
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
DRating O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
== 2024-12-21 CFP First4
Ohio St.
Record: 10-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 3 (30.383)
Actual Line: -7.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -7.6019
Massey Rank: 4
Massey Points: 28.0000
Massey Line: -7.0000
Sagarin Rank: 3
Sagarin Points: 28.2000
Sagarin Line: -7.9300
Pred. Tr. Line: -6.7574
DRating Rank: 2
DRating Points: 30.1000
DRating Line: -10.3000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 26.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -7.0000
Z Combo Rank: 2
Z Combo Points: 28.0750
Z Combo Line: -7.9664
Tennessee
Record: 9-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 9 (25.190)
Actual Line: +7.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +7.6019
Massey Rank: 7
Massey Points: 21.0000
Massey Line: +7.0000
Sagarin Rank: 9
Sagarin Points: 20.2700
Sagarin Line: +7.9300
DRating Rank: 11
DRating Points: 19.8000
DRating Line: +10.3000
Pred. Tr. Line: +6.7574
Bobblehead Expert Points: 19.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +7.0000
Z Combo Rank: 7
Z Combo Points: 20.0175
Z Combo Line: +7.9664
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Ohio St.
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 0.1019
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Tennessee
Massey Line Differential: 0.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 0.50003000
Massey Total: 49.0000
Actual O/U: 46.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite Ohio St.
Sagarin Line Differential: 0.4300
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 0.43000000
Sagarin Total: 48.4700
Actual O/U: 46.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Favorite Ohio St.
DRating Line Differential: 2.8000
DRating Confidence Rating: 2.80009000
DRating Total: 49.9000
Actual O/U: 46.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Tennessee
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 0.7426
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 0.74260000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.15940000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 6.31600000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Tennessee
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 0.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 0.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 45.0000
Actual O/U: 46.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite Ohio St.
Z Combo Line Differential: 0.4664
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 1.22046683
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 0.46638979
Z Combo Total: 48.0925
Actual O/U: 46.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Ohio St. 42, Tennessee 17
AASM+HCA Pick Ohio St. covered (win)
Massey Pick Tennessee did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick Ohio St. covered (win)
DRating Pick Ohio St. covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Tennessee did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Tennessee did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Ohio St. covered (win)
Game went over 46.5
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
DRating O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
== 2024-12-23 Myrtle Beach
UTSA
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 100 (-12.120)
Actual Line: -13.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -1.0474
Massey Rank: 96
Massey Points: 31.0000
Massey Line: -2.0000
Sagarin Rank: 79
Sagarin Points: 35.7300
Sagarin Line: -7.3700
Pred. Tr. Line: -5.5580
DRating Rank: 95
DRating Points: 30.5000
DRating Line: -7.4000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 34.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -10.0000
Z Combo Rank: 74
Z Combo Points: 32.8075
Z Combo Line: -5.5635
Coastal Carolina
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 94 (-9.168)
Actual Line: +13.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +1.0474
Massey Rank: 93
Massey Points: 29.0000
Massey Line: +2.0000
Sagarin Rank: 104
Sagarin Points: 28.3600
Sagarin Line: +7.3700
DRating Rank: 83
DRating Points: 23.1000
DRating Line: +7.4000
Pred. Tr. Line: +5.5580
Bobblehead Expert Points: 24.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +10.0000
Z Combo Rank: 74
Z Combo Points: 26.1150
Z Combo Line: +3.9635
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -4.000
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Coastal Carolina
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 12.4526
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Coastal Carolina
Massey Line Differential: 11.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 11.50003000
Massey Total: 60.0000
Actual O/U: 55.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Coastal Carolina
Sagarin Line Differential: 6.1300
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 6.13000000
Sagarin Total: 64.0900
Actual O/U: 55.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Coastal Carolina
DRating Line Differential: 6.1000
DRating Confidence Rating: 6.10012000
DRating Total: 53.6000
Actual O/U: 55.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Coastal Carolina
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 7.9420
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 7.94200000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 4.39700000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 1.33500000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Coastal Carolina
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 3.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 3.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 58.0000
Actual O/U: 55.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Coastal Carolina
Z Combo Line Differential: 7.9365
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 3.44709364
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 7.93651723
Z Combo Total: 58.9225
Actual O/U: 55.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score UTSA 44, Coastal Carolina 15
AASM+HCA Pick Coastal Carolina did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick Coastal Carolina did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick Coastal Carolina did not cover (loss)
DRating Pick Coastal Carolina did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Coastal Carolina did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Coastal Carolina did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Coastal Carolina did not cover (loss)
Game went over 55.5
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
DRating O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
== 2024-12-23 Potato
Northern Illinois
Record: 6-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 87 (-6.446)
Actual Line: -3.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +0.7284
Massey Rank: 102
Massey Points: 17.0000
Massey Line: +7.7500
Sagarin Rank: 106
Sagarin Points: 17.3400
Sagarin Line: +5.4600
Pred. Tr. Line: +2.9473
DRating Rank: 90
DRating Points: 22.0000
DRating Line: +1.3500
Bobblehead Expert Points: 19.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -5.0000
Z Combo Rank: 77
Z Combo Points: 18.8350
Z Combo Line: +2.0577
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -1.250
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -2.000
Fresno St.
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 88 (-6.468)
Actual Line: +3.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -0.7284
Massey Rank: 80
Massey Points: 24.7500
Massey Line: -7.7500
Sagarin Rank: 81
Sagarin Points: 22.8000
Sagarin Line: -5.4600
DRating Rank: 81
DRating Points: 23.3500
DRating Line: -1.3500
Pred. Tr. Line: -2.9473
Bobblehead Expert Points: 14.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +5.0000
Z Combo Rank: 66
Z Combo Points: 21.2250
Z Combo Line: -1.7577
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -1.250
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -1.250
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Fresno St.
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 4.2284
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Fresno St.
Massey Line Differential: 11.2500
Massey Confidence Rating: 11.25022000
Massey Total: 41.7500
Actual O/U: 39.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Fresno St.
Sagarin Line Differential: 8.9600
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 8.96000000
Sagarin Total: 40.1400
Actual O/U: 39.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Fresno St.
DRating Line Differential: 4.8500
DRating Confidence Rating: 4.85009000
DRating Total: 45.3500
Actual O/U: 39.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Fresno St.
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 6.4473
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 6.44730000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 4.23480000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 1.85460000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Northern Illinois
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 1.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 1.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 33.0000
Actual O/U: 39.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Fresno St.
Z Combo Line Differential: 5.5577
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 4.38307705
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 5.55768824
Z Combo Total: 40.0600
Actual O/U: 39.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Northern Illinois 28, Fresno St. 20
AASM+HCA Pick Fresno St. did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick Fresno St. did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick Fresno St. did not cover (loss)
DRating Pick Fresno St. did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Fresno St. did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Northern Illinois covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Fresno St. did not cover (loss)
Game went over 39.5
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
DRating O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
== 2024-12-24 Hawaii
San Jose St.
Record: 6-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 90 (-8.072)
Actual Line: -3.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -0.0674
Massey Rank: 79
Massey Points: 31.0000
Massey Line: -2.7500
Sagarin Rank: 100
Sagarin Points: 28.6600
Sagarin Line: +2.9900
Pred. Tr. Line: -0.5632
DRating Rank: 93
DRating Points: 29.6000
DRating Line: -0.9500
Bobblehead Expert Points: 35.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -7.0000
Z Combo Rank: 72
Z Combo Points: 31.0650
Z Combo Line: -1.5555
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
South Florida
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 91 (-8.389)
Actual Line: +3.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +0.0674
Massey Rank: 99
Massey Points: 28.2500
Massey Line: +2.7500
Sagarin Rank: 84
Sagarin Points: 31.6500
Sagarin Line: -2.9900
DRating Rank: 83
DRating Points: 28.6500
DRating Line: +0.9500
Pred. Tr. Line: +0.5632
Bobblehead Expert Points: 28.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +7.0000
Z Combo Rank: 71
Z Combo Points: 29.1375
Z Combo Line: +1.6555
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog South Florida
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 2.9326
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog South Florida
Massey Line Differential: 0.2500
Massey Confidence Rating: 0.25020000
Massey Total: 59.2500
Actual O/U: 64.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog South Florida
Sagarin Line Differential: 5.9900
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 5.99000000
Sagarin Total: 60.3100
Actual O/U: 64.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog South Florida
DRating Line Differential: 2.0500
DRating Confidence Rating: 2.05010000
DRating Total: 58.2500
Actual O/U: 64.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog South Florida
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 2.4368
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 2.43680000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.67090000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 0.48000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite San Jose St.
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 4.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 4.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 63.0000
Actual O/U: 64.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog South Florida
Z Combo Line Differential: 1.4445
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 3.29581774
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 1.44452137
Z Combo Total: 60.2025
Actual O/U: 64.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Under
== Final Score San Jose St. 39, South Florida 41
AASM+HCA Pick South Florida covered (win)
Massey Pick South Florida covered (win)
Sagarin Pick South Florida covered (win)
DRating Pick South Florida covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick South Florida covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick San Jose St. did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick South Florida covered (win)
Game went over 64.0
Massey O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
DRating O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
== 2024-12-26 GameAbove Sports
Pittsburgh
Record: 6-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 53 ( 5.213)
Actual Line: -7.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -14.1219
Massey Rank: 52
Massey Points: 31.0000
Massey Line: -11.0000
Sagarin Rank: 62
Sagarin Points: 28.0500
Sagarin Line: -10.3100
Pred. Tr. Line: -8.7004
DRating Rank: 49
DRating Points: 29.8000
DRating Line: -6.8000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 23.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -7.0000
Z Combo Rank: 43
Z Combo Points: 27.9625
Z Combo Line: -9.8464
Toledo
Record: 6-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 92 (-8.909)
Actual Line: +7.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +14.1219
Massey Rank: 100
Massey Points: 20.0000
Massey Line: +11.0000
Sagarin Rank: 108
Sagarin Points: 17.7400
Sagarin Line: +10.3100
DRating Rank: 96
DRating Points: 23.0000
DRating Line: +6.8000
Pred. Tr. Line: +8.7004
Bobblehead Expert Points: 16.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +7.0000
Z Combo Rank: 79
Z Combo Points: 19.1850
Z Combo Line: +9.8464
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Pittsburgh
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 7.1219
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Pittsburgh
Massey Line Differential: 4.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 4.00048000
Massey Total: 51.0000
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite Pittsburgh
Sagarin Line Differential: 3.3100
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 3.31000000
Sagarin Total: 45.7900
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Toledo
DRating Line Differential: 0.2000
DRating Confidence Rating: 0.20047000
DRating Total: 52.8000
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite Pittsburgh
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 1.7004
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 1.70040000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 6.76130000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -9.87000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Tossup
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 0.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 0.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 39.0000
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite Pittsburgh
Z Combo Line Differential: 2.8464
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 2.72794752
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 2.84638759
Z Combo Total: 47.1475
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Under
== Final Score Pittsburgh 46, Toledo 48
AASM+HCA Pick Pittsburgh did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick Pittsburgh did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick Pittsburgh did not cover (loss)
DRating Pick Toledo covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Pittsburgh did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick was PICKEM (no bet)
Z Combo Pick Pittsburgh did not cover (loss)
Game went over 49.5
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
DRating O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
== 2024-12-26 Guaranteed Rate
Kansas St.
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 30 (12.063)
Actual Line: -7.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -3.9497
Massey Rank: 27
Massey Points: 31.0000
Massey Line: -10.0000
Sagarin Rank: 25
Sagarin Points: 30.4300
Sagarin Line: -6.3200
Pred. Tr. Line: -6.7484
DRating Rank: 25
DRating Points: 27.7000
DRating Line: -7.4000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 20.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 21
Z Combo Points: 27.2825
Z Combo Line: -4.7339
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
Rutgers
Record: 6-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 43 ( 8.113)
Actual Line: +7.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +3.9497
Massey Rank: 47
Massey Points: 21.0000
Massey Line: +10.0000
Sagarin Rank: 49
Sagarin Points: 24.1100
Sagarin Line: +6.3200
DRating Rank: 56
DRating Points: 20.3000
DRating Line: +7.4000
Pred. Tr. Line: +6.7484
Bobblehead Expert Points: 24.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 39
Z Combo Points: 22.3525
Z Combo Line: +4.7339
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Rutgers
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 3.0503
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Kansas St.
Massey Line Differential: 3.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 3.00020000
Massey Total: 52.0000
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Pick
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Rutgers
Sagarin Line Differential: 0.6800
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 0.68000000
Sagarin Total: 54.5400
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Favorite Kansas St.
DRating Line Differential: 0.4000
DRating Confidence Rating: 0.40031000
DRating Total: 48.0000
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Rutgers
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 0.2516
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 0.25160000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.19760000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 7.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Rutgers
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 11.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 11.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 44.0000
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Rutgers
Z Combo Line Differential: 2.2661
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 4.78020217
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 2.26606936
Z Combo Total: 49.6350
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Under
== Final Score Kansas St. 44, Rutgers 41
AASM+HCA Pick Rutgers covered (win)
Massey Pick Kansas St. did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick Rutgers covered (win)
DRating Pick Kansas St. did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Rutgers covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Rutgers covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Rutgers covered (win)
Game went over 52.0
Massey O/U Pick of PICKEM (no bet)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
DRating O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
== 2024-12-26 Sixty Eight Ventures
Bowling Green
Record: 6-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 76 (-3.812)
Actual Line: -8.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -11.5542
Massey Rank: 99
Massey Points: 27.7500
Massey Line: -3.5000
Sagarin Rank: 95
Sagarin Points: 25.7900
Sagarin Line: -4.7100
Pred. Tr. Line: -7.1210
DRating Rank: 90
DRating Points: 27.1500
DRating Line: -2.5000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 27.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 72
Z Combo Points: 26.9225
Z Combo Line: -5.2528
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
Arkansas St.
Record: 6-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 117 (-15.866)
Actual Line: +8.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +11.5542
Massey Rank: 103
Massey Points: 24.2500
Massey Line: +3.5000
Sagarin Rank: 116
Sagarin Points: 21.0800
Sagarin Line: +4.7100
DRating Rank: 97
DRating Points: 24.6500
DRating Line: +2.5000
Pred. Tr. Line: +7.1210
Bobblehead Expert Points: 23.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 86
Z Combo Points: 23.2450
Z Combo Line: +5.4528
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Bowling Green
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 3.0542
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Arkansas St.
Massey Line Differential: 5.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 5.00004000
Massey Total: 52.0000
Actual O/U: 53.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Arkansas St.
Sagarin Line Differential: 3.7900
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 3.79000000
Sagarin Total: 46.8700
Actual O/U: 53.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Arkansas St.
DRating Line Differential: 6.0000
DRating Confidence Rating: 6.00007000
DRating Total: 51.8000
Actual O/U: 53.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Arkansas St.
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 1.3790
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 1.37900000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.60020000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 7.90000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Arkansas St.
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 4.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 4.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 50.0000
Actual O/U: 53.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Arkansas St.
Z Combo Line Differential: 3.2472
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 3.23178318
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 3.24715817
Z Combo Total: 50.1675
Actual O/U: 53.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Under
== Final Score Bowling Green 31, Arkansas St. 38
AASM+HCA Pick Bowling Green did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick Arkansas St. covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Arkansas St. covered (win)
DRating Pick Arkansas St. covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Arkansas St. covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Arkansas St. covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Arkansas St. covered (win)
Game went over 53.5
Massey O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
DRating O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
== 2024-12-27 Birmingham
Georgia Tech
Record: 5-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 35 (10.746)
Actual Line: -3.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +1.3559
Massey Rank: 38
Massey Points: 27.5000
Massey Line: -3.5000
Sagarin Rank: 42
Sagarin Points: 25.7500
Sagarin Line: -3.0400
Pred. Tr. Line: -2.4552
DRating Rank: 36
DRating Points: 24.7000
DRating Line: -0.3000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 28.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -5.0000
Z Combo Rank: 30
Z Combo Points: 26.4875
Z Combo Line: -2.0968
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.500
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
Vanderbilt
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 31 (11.602)
Actual Line: +3.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -1.3559
Massey Rank: 49
Massey Points: 24.0000
Massey Line: +3.5000
Sagarin Rank: 56
Sagarin Points: 22.7100
Sagarin Line: +3.0400
DRating Rank: 48
DRating Points: 24.4000
DRating Line: +0.3000
Pred. Tr. Line: +2.4552
Bobblehead Expert Points: 23.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +5.0000
Z Combo Rank: 36
Z Combo Points: 23.5275
Z Combo Line: +2.2968
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Vanderbilt
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 4.3559
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Georgia Tech
Massey Line Differential: 0.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 0.50011000
Massey Total: 51.5000
Actual O/U: 50.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite Georgia Tech
Sagarin Line Differential: 0.0400
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 0.04000000
Sagarin Total: 48.4600
Actual O/U: 50.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Vanderbilt
DRating Line Differential: 2.7000
DRating Confidence Rating: 2.70012000
DRating Total: 49.1000
Actual O/U: 50.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Vanderbilt
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 0.5448
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 0.54480000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 4.34140000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -2.02000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Georgia Tech
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 2.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 2.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 51.0000
Actual O/U: 50.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Vanderbilt
Z Combo Line Differential: 0.9032
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 2.29942237
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 0.90317774
Z Combo Total: 50.0150
Actual O/U: 50.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Georgia Tech 27, Vanderbilt 35
AASM+HCA Pick Vanderbilt covered (win)
Massey Pick Georgia Tech did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick Georgia Tech did not cover (loss)
DRating Pick Vanderbilt covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Vanderbilt covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Georgia Tech did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Vanderbilt covered (win)
Game went over 50.0
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
DRating O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
== 2024-12-27 Armed Forces
Oklahoma
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 26 (14.199)
Actual Line: -2.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -5.7701
Massey Rank: 26
Massey Points: 27.5000
Massey Line: -8.0000
Sagarin Rank: 30
Sagarin Points: 26.0900
Sagarin Line: -2.7400
Pred. Tr. Line: -2.0839
DRating Rank: 28
DRating Points: 24.5000
DRating Line: -3.7000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 20.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 22
Z Combo Points: 24.5225
Z Combo Line: -3.2420
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -3.500
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -2.500
Navy
Record: 8-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 60 ( 2.429)
Actual Line: +2.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +5.7701
Massey Rank: 58
Massey Points: 19.5000
Massey Line: +8.0000
Sagarin Rank: 64
Sagarin Points: 23.3500
Sagarin Line: +2.7400
DRating Rank: 64
DRating Points: 20.8000
DRating Line: +3.7000
Pred. Tr. Line: +2.0839
Bobblehead Expert Points: 24.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 49
Z Combo Points: 21.9125
Z Combo Line: +5.6420
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Oklahoma
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 3.2701
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Oklahoma
Massey Line Differential: 5.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 5.50032000
Massey Total: 47.0000
Actual O/U: 43.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite Oklahoma
Sagarin Line Differential: 0.2400
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 0.24000000
Sagarin Total: 49.4400
Actual O/U: 43.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Favorite Oklahoma
DRating Line Differential: 1.2000
DRating Confidence Rating: 1.20036000
DRating Total: 45.3000
Actual O/U: 43.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Navy
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 0.4161
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 0.41610000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 7.66740000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -8.62000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Navy
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 6.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 6.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 44.0000
Actual O/U: 43.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite Oklahoma
Z Combo Line Differential: 0.7420
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 4.04816717
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 0.74202403
Z Combo Total: 46.4350
Actual O/U: 43.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Oklahoma 20, Navy 21
AASM+HCA Pick Oklahoma did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick Oklahoma did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick Oklahoma did not cover (loss)
DRating Pick Oklahoma did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Navy covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Navy covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Oklahoma did not cover (loss)
Game went under 43.5
Massey O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
DRating O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
== 2024-12-27 Liberty
Arkansas
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 41 ( 9.347)
Actual Line: +2.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -2.6748
Massey Rank: 37
Massey Points: 26.2500
Massey Line: -3.5000
Sagarin Rank: 44
Sagarin Points: 28.0700
Sagarin Line: +5.2700
Pred. Tr. Line: -3.7532
DRating Rank: 52
DRating Points: 28.3500
DRating Line: +0.9000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 31.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 34
Z Combo Points: 28.4175
Z Combo Line: -0.7610
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -4.000
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -1.000
Texas Tech
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 40 ( 9.522)
Actual Line: -2.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +2.6748
Massey Rank: 34
Massey Points: 29.7500
Massey Line: +3.5000
Sagarin Rank: 34
Sagarin Points: 33.3400
Sagarin Line: -5.2700
DRating Rank: 39
DRating Points: 27.4500
DRating Line: -0.9000
Pred. Tr. Line: +3.7532
Bobblehead Expert Points: 27.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 29
Z Combo Points: 29.3850
Z Combo Line: -0.2390
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -2.250
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Arkansas
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 4.6748
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Arkansas
Massey Line Differential: 5.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 5.50003000
Massey Total: 56.0000
Actual O/U: 52.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Arkansas
Sagarin Line Differential: 7.2700
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 7.27000000
Sagarin Total: 61.4100
Actual O/U: 52.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Arkansas
DRating Line Differential: 1.1000
DRating Confidence Rating: 1.10013000
DRating Total: 55.8000
Actual O/U: 52.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Arkansas
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 5.7532
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 5.75320000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.48780000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -1.07000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Texas Tech
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 2.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 2.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 58.0000
Actual O/U: 52.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Arkansas
Z Combo Line Differential: 2.2390
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 3.48115450
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 2.23903850
Z Combo Total: 57.8025
Actual O/U: 52.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Arkansas 39, Texas Tech 26
AASM+HCA Pick Arkansas covered (win)
Massey Pick Arkansas covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Arkansas covered (win)
DRating Pick Arkansas covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Arkansas covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Texas Tech did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Arkansas covered (win)
Game went over 52.5
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
DRating O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
== 2024-12-27 Las Vegas
Texas A&M
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 17 (18.293)
Actual Line: -4.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -2.2555
Massey Rank: 15
Massey Points: 28.0000
Massey Line: -2.5000
Sagarin Rank: 19
Sagarin Points: 28.4600
Sagarin Line: -2.9900
Pred. Tr. Line: -2.5457
DRating Rank: 16
DRating Points: 26.9000
DRating Line: -4.7000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 24.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 13
Z Combo Points: 26.8400
Z Combo Line: -3.2891
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -1.000
Southern California
Record: 6-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 20 (17.537)
Actual Line: +4.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +2.2555
Massey Rank: 29
Massey Points: 25.5000
Massey Line: +2.5000
Sagarin Rank: 26
Sagarin Points: 25.4700
Sagarin Line: +2.9900
DRating Rank: 27
DRating Points: 22.2000
DRating Line: +4.7000
Pred. Tr. Line: +2.5457
Bobblehead Expert Points: 20.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 20
Z Combo Points: 23.2925
Z Combo Line: +2.6891
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -2.500
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Southern California
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 1.7445
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Southern California
Massey Line Differential: 1.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 1.50014000
Massey Total: 53.5000
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Southern California
Sagarin Line Differential: 1.0100
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 1.01000000
Sagarin Total: 53.9300
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Favorite Texas A&M
DRating Line Differential: 0.7000
DRating Confidence Rating: 0.70011000
DRating Total: 49.1000
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Southern California
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 1.4543
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 1.45430000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 2.62540000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -0.85000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Tossup
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 0.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 0.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 44.0000
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Southern California
Z Combo Line Differential: 0.7109
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 0.92481874
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 0.71089635
Z Combo Total: 50.1325
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Under
== Final Score Texas A&M 31, Southern California 35
AASM+HCA Pick Southern California covered (win)
Massey Pick Southern California covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Southern California covered (win)
DRating Pick Texas A&M did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Southern California covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick was PICKEM (no bet)
Z Combo Pick Southern California covered (win)
Game went over 52.0
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
DRating O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
== 2024-12-27 Holiday
Syracuse
Record: 8-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 48 ( 6.992)
Actual Line: -17.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -15.5959
Massey Rank: 41
Massey Points: 34.5000
Massey Line: -5.0000
Sagarin Rank: 46
Sagarin Points: 38.2600
Sagarin Line: -12.1400
Pred. Tr. Line: -12.2479
DRating Rank: 50
DRating Points: 38.6000
DRating Line: -14.0000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 38.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -11.0000
Z Combo Rank: 37
Z Combo Points: 37.3400
Z Combo Line: -11.5472
Washington St.
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 71 (-1.604)
Actual Line: +17.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +15.5959
Massey Rank: 59
Massey Points: 29.5000
Massey Line: +5.0000
Sagarin Rank: 69
Sagarin Points: 26.1200
Sagarin Line: +12.1400
DRating Rank: 63
DRating Points: 24.6000
DRating Line: +14.0000
Pred. Tr. Line: +12.2479
Bobblehead Expert Points: 27.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +11.0000
Z Combo Rank: 52
Z Combo Points: 26.8050
Z Combo Line: +8.7472
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -3.500
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -3.500
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Washington St.
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 1.9041
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Washington St.
Massey Line Differential: 12.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 12.50018000
Massey Total: 64.0000
Actual O/U: 59.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Washington St.
Sagarin Line Differential: 5.3600
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 5.36000000
Sagarin Total: 64.3800
Actual O/U: 59.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Washington St.
DRating Line Differential: 3.5000
DRating Confidence Rating: 3.50013000
DRating Total: 63.2000
Actual O/U: 59.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Washington St.
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 5.2521
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 5.25210000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 6.33690000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -5.99000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Washington St.
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 6.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 6.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 65.0000
Actual O/U: 59.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Washington St.
Z Combo Line Differential: 5.9528
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 3.63110943
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 5.95282219
Z Combo Total: 64.1450
Actual O/U: 59.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Syracuse 52, Washington St. 35
AASM+HCA Pick Washington St. covered (win)
Massey Pick Washington St. covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Washington St. covered (win)
DRating Pick Washington St. covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Washington St. covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Washington St. covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Washington St. covered (win)
Game went over 59.5
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
DRating O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
== 2024-12-28 Fenway
North Carolina
Record: 4-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 61 ( 2.158)
Actual Line: -2.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -4.1973
Massey Rank: 60
Massey Points: 33.7500
Massey Line: -11.2500
Sagarin Rank: 66
Sagarin Points: 31.8000
Sagarin Line: -4.4600
Pred. Tr. Line: -4.8133
DRating Rank: 60
DRating Points: 27.5500
DRating Line: -1.8500
Bobblehead Expert Points: 24.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +9.0000
Z Combo Rank: 49
Z Combo Points: 29.2750
Z Combo Line: -2.5515
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -1.500
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -1.500
Connecticut
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 80 (-4.789)
Actual Line: +2.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +4.1973
Massey Rank: 91
Massey Points: 22.5000
Massey Line: +11.2500
Sagarin Rank: 97
Sagarin Points: 27.3400
Sagarin Line: +4.4600
DRating Rank: 84
DRating Points: 25.7000
DRating Line: +1.8500
Pred. Tr. Line: +4.8133
Bobblehead Expert Points: 33.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -9.0000
Z Combo Rank: 70
Z Combo Points: 27.1350
Z Combo Line: +3.6515
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite North Carolina
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 1.6973
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite North Carolina
Massey Line Differential: 8.7500
Massey Confidence Rating: 8.75031000
Massey Total: 56.2500
Actual O/U: 53.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite North Carolina
Sagarin Line Differential: 1.9600
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 1.96000000
Sagarin Total: 59.1400
Actual O/U: 53.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Connecticut
DRating Line Differential: 0.6500
DRating Confidence Rating: 0.65024000
DRating Total: 53.2500
Actual O/U: 53.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite North Carolina
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 2.3133
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 2.31330000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 4.99880000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 7.21000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Connecticut
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 11.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 11.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 57.0000
Actual O/U: 53.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite North Carolina
Z Combo Line Differential: 0.0515
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 6.57181936
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 0.05145159
Z Combo Total: 56.4100
Actual O/U: 53.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score North Carolina 14, Connecticut 27
AASM+HCA Pick North Carolina did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick North Carolina did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick North Carolina did not cover (loss)
DRating Pick Connecticut covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick North Carolina did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Connecticut covered (win)
Z Combo Pick North Carolina did not cover (loss)
Game went under 53.5
Massey O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
DRating O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
== 2024-12-28 Pinstripe
Nebraska
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 33 (11.054)
Actual Line: -3.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -4.7530
Massey Rank: 43
Massey Points: 24.2500
Massey Line: -3.0000
Sagarin Rank: 36
Sagarin Points: 25.8100
Sagarin Line: -3.3600
Pred. Tr. Line: -1.5210
DRating Rank: 38
DRating Points: 22.9500
DRating Line: +0.4000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 21.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +6.0000
Z Combo Rank: 30
Z Combo Points: 23.5025
Z Combo Line: -0.9426
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.500
Boston College
Record: 6-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 50 ( 6.301)
Actual Line: +3.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +4.7530
Massey Rank: 54
Massey Points: 21.2500
Massey Line: +3.0000
Sagarin Rank: 51
Sagarin Points: 22.4500
Sagarin Line: +3.3600
DRating Rank: 54
DRating Points: 23.3500
DRating Line: -0.4000
Pred. Tr. Line: +1.5210
Bobblehead Expert Points: 27.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -6.0000
Z Combo Rank: 41
Z Combo Points: 23.5125
Z Combo Line: +0.9426
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Nebraska
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 1.2530
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Boston College
Massey Line Differential: 0.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 0.50011000
Massey Total: 45.5000
Actual O/U: 46.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Boston College
Sagarin Line Differential: 0.1400
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 0.14000000
Sagarin Total: 48.2600
Actual O/U: 46.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Boston College
DRating Line Differential: 3.9000
DRating Confidence Rating: 3.90016000
DRating Total: 46.3000
Actual O/U: 46.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Boston College
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 1.9790
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 1.97900000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 2.71450000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 1.47000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Boston College
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 9.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 9.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 48.0000
Actual O/U: 46.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Boston College
Z Combo Line Differential: 2.5574
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 3.86259092
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 2.55740242
Z Combo Total: 47.0150
Actual O/U: 46.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Nebraska 20, Boston College 15
AASM+HCA Pick Nebraska covered (win)
Massey Pick Boston College did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick Boston College did not cover (loss)
DRating Pick Boston College did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Boston College did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Boston College did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Boston College did not cover (loss)
Game went under 46.5
Massey O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
DRating O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
== 2024-12-28 New Mexico
TCU
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 46 ( 7.533)
Actual Line: -10.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -9.2234
Massey Rank: 33
Massey Points: 33.7500
Massey Line: -13.0000
Sagarin Rank: 32
Sagarin Points: 33.2200
Sagarin Line: -10.5000
Pred. Tr. Line: -8.3508
DRating Rank: 37
DRating Points: 33.6500
DRating Line: -9.3000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 36.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -7.0000
Z Combo Rank: 29
Z Combo Points: 34.1550
Z Combo Line: -9.8047
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
Louisiana
Record: 9-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 71 (-1.690)
Actual Line: +10.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +9.2234
Massey Rank: 70
Massey Points: 20.7500
Massey Line: +13.0000
Sagarin Rank: 72
Sagarin Points: 22.7200
Sagarin Line: +10.5000
DRating Rank: 59
DRating Points: 24.3500
DRating Line: +9.3000
Pred. Tr. Line: +8.3508
Bobblehead Expert Points: 29.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +7.0000
Z Combo Rank: 54
Z Combo Points: 24.2050
Z Combo Line: +9.8047
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Louisiana
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 0.7766
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite TCU
Massey Line Differential: 3.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 3.00037000
Massey Total: 54.5000
Actual O/U: 59.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite TCU
Sagarin Line Differential: 0.5000
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 0.50000000
Sagarin Total: 55.9400
Actual O/U: 59.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Louisiana
DRating Line Differential: 0.7000
DRating Confidence Rating: 0.70022000
DRating Total: 58.0000
Actual O/U: 59.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Louisiana
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 1.6492
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 1.64920000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 4.20070000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 9.13000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Louisiana
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 3.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 3.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 65.0000
Actual O/U: 59.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Louisiana
Z Combo Line Differential: 0.1953
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 1.95716003
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 0.19532326
Z Combo Total: 58.3600
Actual O/U: 59.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Under
== Final Score TCU 34, Louisiana 3
AASM+HCA Pick Louisiana did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick TCU covered (win)
Sagarin Pick TCU covered (win)
DRating Pick Louisiana did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Louisiana did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Louisiana did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Louisiana did not cover (loss)
Game went under 59.0
Massey O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
DRating O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
== 2024-12-28 Pop Tarts
Miami FL
Record: 9-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 12 (20.801)
Actual Line: -4.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -6.9419
Massey Rank: 17
Massey Points: 31.2500
Massey Line: -1.2500
Sagarin Rank: 14
Sagarin Points: 35.4200
Sagarin Line: -3.4500
Pred. Tr. Line: -5.1380
DRating Rank: 10
DRating Points: 28.9500
DRating Line: -1.7500
Bobblehead Expert Points: 27.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +11.0000
Z Combo Rank: 10
Z Combo Points: 30.6550
Z Combo Line: -0.4784
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
Iowa St.
Record: 9-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 25 (14.109)
Actual Line: +4.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +6.9419
Massey Rank: 22
Massey Points: 30.0000
Massey Line: +1.2500
Sagarin Rank: 27
Sagarin Points: 31.9700
Sagarin Line: +3.4500
DRating Rank: 22
DRating Points: 27.2000
DRating Line: +1.7500
Pred. Tr. Line: +5.1380
Bobblehead Expert Points: 38.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -11.0000
Z Combo Rank: 19
Z Combo Points: 31.7925
Z Combo Line: +0.3784
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.500
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Miami FL
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 2.4419
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Iowa St.
Massey Line Differential: 3.2500
Massey Confidence Rating: 3.25005000
Massey Total: 61.2500
Actual O/U: 58.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Iowa St.
Sagarin Line Differential: 1.0500
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 1.05000000
Sagarin Total: 67.3900
Actual O/U: 58.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Iowa St.
DRating Line Differential: 2.7500
DRating Confidence Rating: 2.75012000
DRating Total: 56.1500
Actual O/U: 58.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite Miami FL
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 0.6380
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 0.63800000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 2.87480000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 4.77000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Iowa St.
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 15.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 15.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 65.0000
Actual O/U: 58.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Iowa St.
Z Combo Line Differential: 4.0216
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 6.07575304
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 4.02161015
Z Combo Total: 62.4475
Actual O/U: 58.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Miami FL 41, Iowa St. 42
AASM+HCA Pick Miami FL did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick Iowa St. covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Iowa St. covered (win)
DRating Pick Iowa St. covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Miami FL did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Iowa St. covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Iowa St. covered (win)
Game went over 58.0
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
DRating O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
== 2024-12-28 Arizona
Miami OH
Record: 8-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 79 (-4.372)
Actual Line: -2.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -3.6781
Massey Rank: 81
Massey Points: 24.0000
Massey Line: -3.2500
Sagarin Rank: 86
Sagarin Points: 20.7600
Sagarin Line: +0.5800
Pred. Tr. Line: -3.3380
DRating Rank: 81
DRating Points: 23.3000
DRating Line: -1.3500
Bobblehead Expert Points: 16.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 65
Z Combo Points: 21.0150
Z Combo Line: -0.7396
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.500
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
Colorado St.
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 90 (-7.800)
Actual Line: +2.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +3.6781
Massey Rank: 78
Massey Points: 20.7500
Massey Line: +3.2500
Sagarin Rank: 83
Sagarin Points: 21.3400
Sagarin Line: -0.5800
DRating Rank: 88
DRating Points: 21.9500
DRating Line: +1.3500
Pred. Tr. Line: +3.3380
Bobblehead Expert Points: 20.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 67
Z Combo Points: 21.0100
Z Combo Line: +0.6396
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.500
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.500
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Miami OH
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 1.1781
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Miami OH
Massey Line Differential: 0.7500
Massey Confidence Rating: 0.75003000
Massey Total: 44.7500
Actual O/U: 40.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Colorado St.
Sagarin Line Differential: 3.0800
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 3.08000000
Sagarin Total: 42.1000
Actual O/U: 40.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Colorado St.
DRating Line Differential: 1.1500
DRating Confidence Rating: 1.15007000
DRating Total: 45.2500
Actual O/U: 40.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite Miami OH
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 0.8380
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 0.83800000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.53270000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -2.83000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Colorado St.
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 6.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 6.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 36.0000
Actual O/U: 40.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Colorado St.
Z Combo Line Differential: 1.7604
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 2.81121448
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 1.76037989
Z Combo Total: 42.0250
Actual O/U: 40.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Miami OH 43, Colorado St. 17
AASM+HCA Pick Miami OH covered (win)
Massey Pick Miami OH covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Colorado St. did not cover (loss)
DRating Pick Colorado St. did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Miami OH covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Colorado St. did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Colorado St. did not cover (loss)
Game went over 40.5
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
DRating O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
== 2024-12-28 Military
N.C. State
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 64 ( 1.217)
Actual Line: -7.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -11.9517
Massey Rank: 66
Massey Points: 31.2500
Massey Line: -7.2500
Sagarin Rank: 61
Sagarin Points: 36.8000
Sagarin Line: -8.6900
Pred. Tr. Line: -9.0367
DRating Rank: 65
DRating Points: 31.1500
DRating Line: -6.7500
Bobblehead Expert Points: 34.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -8.0000
Z Combo Rank: 51
Z Combo Points: 33.3000
Z Combo Line: -8.5283
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
East Carolina
Record: 6-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 95 (-10.485)
Actual Line: +7.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +11.9517
Massey Rank: 90
Massey Points: 24.0000
Massey Line: +7.2500
Sagarin Rank: 96
Sagarin Points: 28.1100
Sagarin Line: +8.6900
DRating Rank: 92
DRating Points: 24.4000
DRating Line: +6.7500
Pred. Tr. Line: +9.0367
Bobblehead Expert Points: 26.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +8.0000
Z Combo Rank: 74
Z Combo Points: 25.6275
Z Combo Line: +8.4283
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.500
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite N.C. State
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 4.9517
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite N.C. State
Massey Line Differential: 0.2500
Massey Confidence Rating: 0.25024000
Massey Total: 55.2500
Actual O/U: 60.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite N.C. State
Sagarin Line Differential: 1.6900
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 1.69000000
Sagarin Total: 64.9100
Actual O/U: 60.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog East Carolina
DRating Line Differential: 0.2500
DRating Confidence Rating: 0.25027000
DRating Total: 55.5500
Actual O/U: 60.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite N.C. State
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 2.0367
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 2.03670000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 5.28150000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 8.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite N.C. State
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 1.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 1.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 60.0000
Actual O/U: 60.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Pick
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite N.C. State
Z Combo Line Differential: 1.5283
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 1.83420206
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 1.52834493
Z Combo Total: 58.9275
Actual O/U: 60.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Under
== Final Score N.C. State 21, East Carolina 26
AASM+HCA Pick N.C. State did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick N.C. State did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick N.C. State did not cover (loss)
DRating Pick East Carolina covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick N.C. State did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick N.C. State did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick N.C. State did not cover (loss)
Game went under 60.0
Massey O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
DRating O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of PICKEM (no bet)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
== 2024-12-28 Alamo
Colorado
Record: 8-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 20 (17.439)
Actual Line: -3.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -3.9242
Massey Rank: 27
Massey Points: 27.2500
Massey Line: +1.0000
Sagarin Rank: 12
Sagarin Points: 31.5400
Sagarin Line: -4.0600
Pred. Tr. Line: -2.4850
DRating Rank: 29
DRating Points: 27.7500
DRating Line: -3.4000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 37.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -6.0000
Z Combo Rank: 17
Z Combo Points: 30.8850
Z Combo Line: -3.2768
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
BYU
Record: 9-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 27 (13.515)
Actual Line: +3.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +3.9242
Massey Rank: 18
Massey Points: 28.2500
Massey Line: -1.0000
Sagarin Rank: 29
Sagarin Points: 27.4800
Sagarin Line: +4.0600
DRating Rank: 21
DRating Points: 24.3500
DRating Line: +3.4000
Pred. Tr. Line: +2.4850
Bobblehead Expert Points: 31.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +6.0000
Z Combo Rank: 19
Z Combo Points: 27.7700
Z Combo Line: +3.2768
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Colorado
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 0.9242
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog BYU
Massey Line Differential: 4.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 4.00009000
Massey Total: 55.5000
Actual O/U: 56.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite Colorado
Sagarin Line Differential: 1.0600
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 1.06000000
Sagarin Total: 59.0200
Actual O/U: 56.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Favorite Colorado
DRating Line Differential: 0.4000
DRating Confidence Rating: 0.40008000
DRating Total: 52.1000
Actual O/U: 56.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog BYU
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 0.5150
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 0.51500000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.60580000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 2.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Colorado
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 3.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 3.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 68.0000
Actual O/U: 56.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite Colorado
Z Combo Line Differential: 0.2768
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 2.31320272
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 0.27683853
Z Combo Total: 58.6550
Actual O/U: 56.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Colorado 14, BYU 36
AASM+HCA Pick Colorado did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick BYU covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Colorado did not cover (loss)
DRating Pick Colorado did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick BYU covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Colorado did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Colorado did not cover (loss)
Game went under 56.0
Massey O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
DRating O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
== 2024-12-28 Independence
Army
Record: 10-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 55 ( 4.767)
Actual Line: -14.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -19.6842
Massey Rank: 42
Massey Points: 31.2500
Massey Line: -21.2500
Sagarin Rank: 63
Sagarin Points: 23.2900
Sagarin Line: -11.5800
Pred. Tr. Line: -16.6223
DRating Rank: 53
DRating Points: 35.3500
DRating Line: -23.2500
Bobblehead Expert Points: 31.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -16.0000
Z Combo Rank: 42
Z Combo Points: 30.2225
Z Combo Line: -18.3528
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
Louisiana Tech
Record: 4-7
AASM+HCA Rank: 114 (-14.667)
Actual Line: +14.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +19.6842
Massey Rank: 118
Massey Points: 10.0000
Massey Line: +21.2500
Sagarin Rank: 118
Sagarin Points: 11.7100
Sagarin Line: +11.5800
DRating Rank: 118
DRating Points: 12.1000
DRating Line: +23.2500
Pred. Tr. Line: +16.6223
Bobblehead Expert Points: 15.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +16.0000
Z Combo Rank: 93
Z Combo Points: 12.2025
Z Combo Line: +18.2528
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.500
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Army
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 5.1842
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Army
Massey Line Differential: 6.7500
Massey Confidence Rating: 6.75076000
Massey Total: 41.2500
Actual O/U: 44.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Louisiana Tech
Sagarin Line Differential: 2.9200
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 2.92000000
Sagarin Total: 35.0000
Actual O/U: 44.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
DRating Diff Pick: Favorite Army
DRating Line Differential: 8.7500
DRating Confidence Rating: 8.75065000
DRating Total: 47.4500
Actual O/U: 44.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite Army
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 2.1223
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 2.12230000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 6.65450000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 14.96000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Army
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 1.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 1.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 46.0000
Actual O/U: 44.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite Army
Z Combo Line Differential: 3.8528
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 4.13655270
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 3.85283188
Z Combo Total: 42.4250
Actual O/U: 44.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Under
== Final Score Army 27, Louisiana Tech 6
AASM+HCA Pick Army covered (win)
Massey Pick Army covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Louisiana Tech did not cover (loss)
DRating Pick Army covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Army covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Army covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Army covered (win)
Game went under 44.0
Massey O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
DRating O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
== 2024-12-30 Music City
Missouri
Record: 8-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 33 (11.017)
Actual Line: -2.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +2.2345
Massey Rank: 20
Massey Points: 20.7500
Massey Line: -1.0000
Sagarin Rank: 26
Sagarin Points: 22.2700
Sagarin Line: +0.1500
Pred. Tr. Line: -0.0113
DRating Rank: 33
DRating Points: 19.4500
DRating Line: +0.7000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 25.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 22
Z Combo Points: 21.8675
Z Combo Line: -0.3831
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
Iowa
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 26 (13.252)
Actual Line: +2.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -2.2345
Massey Rank: 27
Massey Points: 19.7500
Massey Line: +1.0000
Sagarin Rank: 22
Sagarin Points: 22.4200
Sagarin Line: -0.1500
DRating Rank: 25
DRating Points: 20.1500
DRating Line: -0.7000
Pred. Tr. Line: +0.0113
Bobblehead Expert Points: 21.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 20
Z Combo Points: 20.8300
Z Combo Line: +0.3831
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Iowa
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 4.7345
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Iowa
Massey Line Differential: 1.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 1.50007000
Massey Total: 40.5000
Actual O/U: 40.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Iowa
Sagarin Line Differential: 2.6500
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 2.65000000
Sagarin Total: 44.6900
Actual O/U: 40.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Iowa
DRating Line Differential: 3.2000
DRating Confidence Rating: 3.20008000
DRating Total: 39.6000
Actual O/U: 40.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Iowa
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 2.4887
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 2.48870000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 4.43440000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -0.15000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Missouri
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 1.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 1.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 46.0000
Actual O/U: 40.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Iowa
Z Combo Line Differential: 2.1169
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 2.08669446
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 2.11689261
Z Combo Total: 42.6975
Actual O/U: 40.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Missouri 27, Iowa 24
AASM+HCA Pick Iowa did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick Iowa did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick Iowa did not cover (loss)
DRating Pick Iowa did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Iowa did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Missouri covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Iowa did not cover (loss)
Game went over 40.0
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
DRating O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
== 2024-12-31 ReliaQuest
Alabama
Record: 8-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 4 (26.034)
Actual Line: -16.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -15.5900
Massey Rank: 7
Massey Points: 27.5000
Massey Line: -6.5000
Sagarin Rank: 7
Sagarin Points: 25.7000
Sagarin Line: -6.4000
Pred. Tr. Line: -7.1859
DRating Rank: 8
DRating Points: 28.5000
DRating Line: -12.8000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 30.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -13.0000
Z Combo Rank: 5
Z Combo Points: 27.9250
Z Combo Line: -10.8580
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -1.000
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
Michigan
Record: 7-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 37 ( 9.944)
Actual Line: +16.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +15.5900
Massey Rank: 15
Massey Points: 21.0000
Massey Line: +6.5000
Sagarin Rank: 19
Sagarin Points: 19.3000
Sagarin Line: +6.4000
DRating Rank: 23
DRating Points: 15.7000
DRating Line: +12.8000
Pred. Tr. Line: +7.1859
Bobblehead Expert Points: 17.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +13.0000
Z Combo Rank: 18
Z Combo Points: 18.2500
Z Combo Line: +11.0580
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.500
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Michigan
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 0.4100
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Michigan
Massey Line Differential: 9.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 9.50008000
Massey Total: 48.5000
Actual O/U: 45.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Michigan
Sagarin Line Differential: 9.6000
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 9.60000000
Sagarin Total: 45.0000
Actual O/U: 45.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Pick
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Michigan
DRating Line Differential: 3.2000
DRating Confidence Rating: 3.20015000
DRating Total: 44.2000
Actual O/U: 45.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Michigan
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 8.8141
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 8.81410000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 6.20020000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -8.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Michigan
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 3.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 3.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 47.0000
Actual O/U: 45.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Michigan
Z Combo Line Differential: 5.1420
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 3.73141663
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 5.14199851
Z Combo Total: 46.1750
Actual O/U: 45.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Alabama 13, Michigan 19
AASM+HCA Pick Michigan covered (win)
Massey Pick Michigan covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Michigan covered (win)
DRating Pick Michigan covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Michigan covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Michigan covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Michigan covered (win)
Game went under 45.0
Massey O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of PICKEM (no bet)
DRating O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
== 2024-12-31 Sun
Louisville
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 14 (18.547)
Actual Line: -1.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -14.4830
Massey Rank: 25
Massey Points: 27.7500
Massey Line: -4.2500
Sagarin Rank: 15
Sagarin Points: 30.4700
Sagarin Line: -7.8800
Pred. Tr. Line: -7.2282
DRating Rank: 21
DRating Points: 26.3500
DRating Line: -2.5500
Bobblehead Expert Points: 33.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -9.0000
Z Combo Rank: 15
Z Combo Points: 29.3925
Z Combo Line: -7.6326
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.750
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
Washington
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 55 ( 4.314)
Actual Line: +1.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +14.4830
Massey Rank: 35
Massey Points: 23.5000
Massey Line: +4.2500
Sagarin Rank: 48
Sagarin Points: 22.5900
Sagarin Line: +7.8800
DRating Rank: 38
DRating Points: 23.8000
DRating Line: +2.5500
Pred. Tr. Line: +7.2282
Bobblehead Expert Points: 24.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +9.0000
Z Combo Rank: 35
Z Combo Points: 23.4725
Z Combo Line: +7.5326
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.750
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.500
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Louisville
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 13.4830
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Louisville
Massey Line Differential: 3.2500
Massey Confidence Rating: 3.25010000
Massey Total: 51.2500
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite Louisville
Sagarin Line Differential: 6.8800
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 6.88000000
Sagarin Total: 53.0600
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Favorite Louisville
DRating Line Differential: 1.5500
DRating Confidence Rating: 1.55017000
DRating Total: 50.1500
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite Louisville
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 6.2282
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 6.22820000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 6.79210000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -8.25000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Louisville
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 8.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 8.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 57.0000
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite Louisville
Z Combo Line Differential: 6.6326
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 4.15052359
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 6.63260664
Z Combo Total: 52.8650
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Louisville 35, Washington 34
AASM+HCA Pick Louisville pushed
Massey Pick Louisville pushed
Sagarin Pick Louisville pushed
DRating Pick Louisville pushed
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Louisville pushed
Bobblehead Expert Pick Louisville pushed
Z Combo Pick Louisville pushed
Game went over 49.5
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
DRating O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
== 2024-12-31 Citrus
South Carolina
Record: 8-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 12 (19.894)
Actual Line: -9.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -13.2958
Massey Rank: 11
Massey Points: 28.0000
Massey Line: -7.0000
Sagarin Rank: 12
Sagarin Points: 31.3400
Sagarin Line: -6.6500
Pred. Tr. Line: -8.9772
DRating Rank: 12
DRating Points: 28.0000
DRating Line: -12.2000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 27.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -5.0000
Z Combo Rank: 9
Z Combo Points: 28.5850
Z Combo Line: -8.8292
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
Illinois
Record: 8-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 49 ( 6.598)
Actual Line: +9.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +13.2958
Massey Rank: 27
Massey Points: 21.0000
Massey Line: +7.0000
Sagarin Rank: 39
Sagarin Points: 24.6900
Sagarin Line: +6.6500
DRating Rank: 27
DRating Points: 15.8000
DRating Line: +12.2000
Pred. Tr. Line: +8.9772
Bobblehead Expert Points: 22.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +5.0000
Z Combo Rank: 28
Z Combo Points: 20.8725
Z Combo Line: +8.8292
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite South Carolina
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 4.2958
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Illinois
Massey Line Differential: 2.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 2.00016000
Massey Total: 49.0000
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Illinois
Sagarin Line Differential: 2.3500
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 2.35000000
Sagarin Total: 56.0300
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Favorite South Carolina
DRating Line Differential: 3.2000
DRating Confidence Rating: 3.20015000
DRating Total: 43.8000
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Illinois
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 0.0228
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 0.02280000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.69220000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -9.02000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Illinois
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 4.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 4.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 49.0000
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Illinois
Z Combo Line Differential: 0.1708
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 3.28846986
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 0.17084662
Z Combo Total: 49.4575
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Under
== Final Score South Carolina 17, Illinois 21
AASM+HCA Pick South Carolina did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick Illinois covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Illinois covered (win)
DRating Pick South Carolina did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Illinois covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Illinois covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Illinois covered (win)
Game went under 49.5
Massey O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
DRating O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
== 2024-12-31 Texas
LSU
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 18 (17.456)
Actual Line: +4.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +1.4993
Massey Rank: 12
Massey Points: 31.5000
Massey Line: +3.2500
Sagarin Rank: 14
Sagarin Points: 29.1600
Sagarin Line: -0.0300
Pred. Tr. Line: +2.6799
DRating Rank: 18
DRating Points: 27.9000
DRating Line: -0.0500
Bobblehead Expert Points: 37.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +2.0000
Z Combo Rank: 12
Z Combo Points: 31.3900
Z Combo Line: -0.6461
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -1.500
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
Baylor
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 25 (14.207)
Actual Line: -4.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -1.4993
Massey Rank: 29
Massey Points: 28.2500
Massey Line: -3.2500
Sagarin Rank: 25
Sagarin Points: 29.1300
Sagarin Line: +0.0300
DRating Rank: 28
DRating Points: 27.9500
DRating Line: +0.0500
Pred. Tr. Line: -2.6799
Bobblehead Expert Points: 39.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -2.0000
Z Combo Rank: 21
Z Combo Points: 31.0825
Z Combo Line: -0.0539
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog LSU
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 2.5007
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog LSU
Massey Line Differential: 0.7500
Massey Confidence Rating: 0.75017000
Massey Total: 59.7500
Actual O/U: 63.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog LSU
Sagarin Line Differential: 3.9700
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 3.97000000
Sagarin Total: 58.2900
Actual O/U: 63.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog LSU
DRating Line Differential: 4.0500
DRating Confidence Rating: 4.05010000
DRating Total: 55.8500
Actual O/U: 63.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog LSU
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 1.3201
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 1.32010000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 7.04800000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 3.60460000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog LSU
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 6.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 6.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 76.0000
Actual O/U: 63.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog LSU
Z Combo Line Differential: 4.0539
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 2.53184722
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 4.05385701
Z Combo Total: 62.4725
Actual O/U: 63.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Under
== Final Score LSU 44, Baylor 31
AASM+HCA Pick LSU covered (win)
Massey Pick LSU covered (win)
Sagarin Pick LSU covered (win)
DRating Pick LSU covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick LSU covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick LSU covered (win)
Z Combo Pick LSU covered (win)
Game went over 63.0
Massey O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
DRating O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
== 2024-12-31 CFP Quarterfinal 1
Penn St.
Record: 12-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 10 (21.337)
Actual Line: -11.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -10.7106
Massey Rank: 6
Massey Points: 34.0000
Massey Line: -15.0000
Sagarin Rank: 5
Sagarin Points: 31.2000
Sagarin Line: -10.6100
Pred. Tr. Line: -10.7996
DRating Rank: 5
DRating Points: 34.9000
DRating Line: -13.4000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 31.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -14.0000
Z Combo Rank: 5
Z Combo Points: 32.7750
Z Combo Line: -12.7441
Boise St.
Record: 11-1
AASM+HCA Rank: 34 (10.626)
Actual Line: +11.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +10.7106
Massey Rank: 22
Massey Points: 19.0000
Massey Line: +15.0000
Sagarin Rank: 31
Sagarin Points: 20.5900
Sagarin Line: +10.6100
DRating Rank: 9
DRating Points: 21.5000
DRating Line: +13.4000
Pred. Tr. Line: +10.7996
Bobblehead Expert Points: 17.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +14.0000
Z Combo Rank: 19
Z Combo Points: 19.5225
Z Combo Line: +12.7441
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Boise St.
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 0.7894
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Penn St.
Massey Line Differential: 3.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 3.50016000
Massey Total: 53.0000
Actual O/U: 54.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Boise St.
Sagarin Line Differential: 0.8900
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 0.89000000
Sagarin Total: 51.7900
Actual O/U: 54.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
DRating Diff Pick: Favorite Penn St.
DRating Line Differential: 1.9000
DRating Confidence Rating: 1.90004000
DRating Total: 56.4000
Actual O/U: 54.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Boise St.
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 0.7004
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 0.70040000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 4.57050000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -11.37000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Penn St.
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 2.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 2.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 48.0000
Actual O/U: 54.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite Penn St.
Z Combo Line Differential: 1.2441
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 1.77686239
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 1.24411408
Z Combo Total: 52.2975
Actual O/U: 54.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Under
== Final Score Penn St. 31, Boise St. 14
AASM+HCA Pick Boise St. did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick Penn St. covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Boise St. did not cover (loss)
DRating Pick Penn St. covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Boise St. did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Penn St. covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Penn St. covered (win)
Game went under 54.0
Massey O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
DRating O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
== 2025-01-01 CFP Quarterfinal 2
Texas
Record: 12-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 2 (28.066)
Actual Line: -13.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -10.2922
Massey Rank: 5
Massey Points: 32.0000
Massey Line: -15.0000
Sagarin Rank: 4
Sagarin Points: 27.9500
Sagarin Line: -7.4000
Pred. Tr. Line: -11.4063
DRating Rank: 4
DRating Points: 31.5000
DRating Line: -11.8000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 38.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -17.0000
Z Combo Rank: 3
Z Combo Points: 32.3625
Z Combo Line: -12.2984
Arizona St.
Record: 11-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 17 (17.774)
Actual Line: +13.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +10.2922
Massey Rank: 13
Massey Points: 17.0000
Massey Line: +15.0000
Sagarin Rank: 11
Sagarin Points: 20.5500
Sagarin Line: +7.4000
DRating Rank: 16
DRating Points: 19.7000
DRating Line: +11.8000
Pred. Tr. Line: +11.4063
Bobblehead Expert Points: 21.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +17.0000
Z Combo Rank: 11
Z Combo Points: 19.5625
Z Combo Line: +12.2984
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Arizona St.
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 2.7078
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Texas
Massey Line Differential: 2.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 2.00008000
Massey Total: 49.0000
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Arizona St.
Sagarin Line Differential: 5.6000
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 5.60000000
Sagarin Total: 48.5000
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Arizona St.
DRating Line Differential: 1.2000
DRating Confidence Rating: 1.20012000
DRating Total: 51.2000
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Arizona St.
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 1.5937
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 1.59370000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 6.47500000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -10.26500000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Texas
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 4.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 4.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 59.0000
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Arizona St.
Z Combo Line Differential: 0.7016
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 3.39620872
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 0.70155600
Z Combo Total: 51.9250
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Under
== Final Score Texas 39, Arizona St. 31
AASM+HCA Pick Arizona St. covered (win)
Massey Pick Texas did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick Arizona St. covered (win)
DRating Pick Arizona St. covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Arizona St. covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Texas did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Arizona St. covered (win)
Game went over 52.0
Massey O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
DRating O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
== 2025-01-01 CFP Quarterfinal 3
Ohio St.
Record: 11-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 3 (26.598)
Actual Line: -2.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -2.9207
Massey Rank: 3
Massey Points: 29.0000
Massey Line: -5.0000
Sagarin Rank: 1
Sagarin Points: 27.6500
Sagarin Line: -1.1800
Pred. Tr. Line: -1.0941
DRating Rank: 2
DRating Points: 25.1000
DRating Line: +0.3000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 33.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -1.0000
Z Combo Rank: 1
Z Combo Points: 28.6875
Z Combo Line: -1.9601
Oregon
Record: 12-0
AASM+HCA Rank: 7 (23.677)
Actual Line: +2.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +2.9207
Massey Rank: 1
Massey Points: 24.0000
Massey Line: +5.0000
Sagarin Rank: 3
Sagarin Points: 26.4700
Sagarin Line: +1.1800
DRating Rank: 1
DRating Points: 25.4000
DRating Line: -0.3000
Pred. Tr. Line: +1.0941
Bobblehead Expert Points: 32.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +1.0000
Z Combo Rank: 2
Z Combo Points: 26.9675
Z Combo Line: +1.9601
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Ohio St.
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 0.4207
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Ohio St.
Massey Line Differential: 2.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 2.50002000
Massey Total: 53.0000
Actual O/U: 55.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Oregon
Sagarin Line Differential: 1.3200
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 1.32000000
Sagarin Total: 54.1200
Actual O/U: 55.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Oregon
DRating Line Differential: 2.8000
DRating Confidence Rating: 2.80001000
DRating Total: 50.5000
Actual O/U: 55.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Oregon
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 1.4059
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 1.40590000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.93250000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -1.22770000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Oregon
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 1.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 1.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 65.0000
Actual O/U: 55.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Oregon
Z Combo Line Differential: 0.5399
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 1.83314857
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 0.53985750
Z Combo Total: 55.6550
Actual O/U: 55.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Ohio St. 41, Oregon 21
AASM+HCA Pick Ohio St. covered (win)
Massey Pick Ohio St. covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Oregon did not cover (loss)
DRating Pick Oregon did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Oregon did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Oregon did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Oregon did not cover (loss)
Game went over 55.5
Massey O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
DRating O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
== 2025-01-02 Gator
Mississippi
Record: 8-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 4 (24.638)
Actual Line: -17.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -21.6814
Massey Rank: 9
Massey Points: 34.7500
Massey Line: -22.7500
Sagarin Rank: 8
Sagarin Points: 30.1800
Sagarin Line: -17.1100
Pred. Tr. Line: -17.6349
DRating Rank: 6
DRating Points: 35.2500
DRating Line: -18.2500
Bobblehead Expert Points: 31.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +2.0000
Z Combo Rank: 5
Z Combo Points: 32.7950
Z Combo Line: -15.5583
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
Duke
Record: 8-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 55 ( 4.707)
Actual Line: +17.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +21.6814
Massey Rank: 39
Massey Points: 12.0000
Massey Line: +22.7500
Sagarin Rank: 55
Sagarin Points: 13.0700
Sagarin Line: +17.1100
DRating Rank: 52
DRating Points: 17.0000
DRating Line: +18.2500
Pred. Tr. Line: +17.6349
Bobblehead Expert Points: 33.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -2.0000
Z Combo Rank: 40
Z Combo Points: 18.7675
Z Combo Line: +14.8583
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -2.250
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Mississippi
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 4.6814
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Mississippi
Massey Line Differential: 5.7500
Massey Confidence Rating: 5.75030000
Massey Total: 46.7500
Actual O/U: 51.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite Mississippi
Sagarin Line Differential: 0.1100
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 0.11000000
Sagarin Total: 43.2500
Actual O/U: 51.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
DRating Diff Pick: Favorite Mississippi
DRating Line Differential: 1.2500
DRating Confidence Rating: 1.25046000
DRating Total: 52.2500
Actual O/U: 51.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite Mississippi
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 0.6349
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 0.63490000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 4.81130000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 16.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Duke
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 19.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 19.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 64.0000
Actual O/U: 51.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Duke
Z Combo Line Differential: 1.4417
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 9.02396694
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 1.44171880
Z Combo Total: 51.5625
Actual O/U: 51.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Mississippi 52, Duke 20
AASM+HCA Pick Mississippi covered (win)
Massey Pick Mississippi covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Mississippi covered (win)
DRating Pick Mississippi covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Mississippi covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Duke did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Duke did not cover (loss)
Game went over 51.5
Massey O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
DRating O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
== 2025-01-02 CFP Quarterfinal 4
Georgia
Record: 10-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 7 (23.420)
Actual Line: +1.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -6.4756
Massey Rank: 2
Massey Points: 26.0000
Massey Line: -2.0000
Sagarin Rank: 6
Sagarin Points: 28.2000
Sagarin Line: +3.7800
Pred. Tr. Line: -3.4040
DRating Rank: 3
DRating Points: 24.1000
DRating Line: +0.8000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 19.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 3
Z Combo Points: 24.3250
Z Combo Line: +0.1009
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -1.000
Notre Dame
Record: 12-1
AASM+HCA Rank: 1 (28.895)
Actual Line: -1.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +6.4756
Massey Rank: 4
Massey Points: 28.0000
Massey Line: +2.0000
Sagarin Rank: 2
Sagarin Points: 31.9800
Sagarin Line: -3.7800
DRating Rank: 7
DRating Points: 23.3000
DRating Line: -0.8000
Pred. Tr. Line: +3.4040
Bobblehead Expert Points: 23.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 2
Z Combo Points: 26.5700
Z Combo Line: -0.5009
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Georgia
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 7.4756
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Georgia
Massey Line Differential: 3.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 3.00002000
Massey Total: 54.0000
Actual O/U: 45.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Georgia
Sagarin Line Differential: 4.7800
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 4.78000000
Sagarin Total: 60.1800
Actual O/U: 45.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Georgia
DRating Line Differential: 0.2000
DRating Confidence Rating: 0.20004000
DRating Total: 47.4000
Actual O/U: 45.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Georgia
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 4.4040
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 4.40400000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 4.39710000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -3.12000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Georgia
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 5.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 5.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 42.0000
Actual O/U: 45.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Georgia
Z Combo Line Differential: 1.5009
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 3.90924370
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 1.50087969
Z Combo Total: 50.8950
Actual O/U: 45.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Georgia 10, Notre Dame 23
AASM+HCA Pick Georgia did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick Georgia did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick Georgia did not cover (loss)
DRating Pick Georgia did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Georgia did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Georgia did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Georgia did not cover (loss)
Game went under 45.5
Massey O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
DRating O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
== 2025-01-03 First Responder
Texas St.
Record: 6-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 50 ( 6.518)
Actual Line: -14.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -15.7834
Massey Rank: 83
Massey Points: 34.5000
Massey Line: -6.2500
Sagarin Rank: 64
Sagarin Points: 39.2300
Sagarin Line: -11.0600
Pred. Tr. Line: -11.5335
DRating Rank: 62
DRating Points: 38.7000
DRating Line: -13.5500
Bobblehead Expert Points: 41.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -11.0000
Z Combo Rank: 51
Z Combo Points: 38.3575
Z Combo Line: -11.5287
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.750
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.750
North Texas
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 90 (-7.015)
Actual Line: +14.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +15.7834
Massey Rank: 101
Massey Points: 28.2500
Massey Line: +6.2500
Sagarin Rank: 108
Sagarin Points: 28.1700
Sagarin Line: +11.0600
DRating Rank: 87
DRating Points: 25.1500
DRating Line: +13.5500
Pred. Tr. Line: +11.5335
Bobblehead Expert Points: 30.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +11.0000
Z Combo Rank: 77
Z Combo Points: 27.8925
Z Combo Line: +10.6287
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -3.500
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Texas St.
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 1.7834
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog North Texas
Massey Line Differential: 7.7500
Massey Confidence Rating: 7.75018000
Massey Total: 62.7500
Actual O/U: 64.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog North Texas
Sagarin Line Differential: 2.9400
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 2.94000000
Sagarin Total: 67.4000
Actual O/U: 64.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog North Texas
DRating Line Differential: 0.4500
DRating Confidence Rating: 0.45025000
DRating Total: 63.8500
Actual O/U: 64.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog North Texas
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 2.4665
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 2.46650000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 2.70990000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 9.30000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog North Texas
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 3.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 3.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 71.0000
Actual O/U: 64.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog North Texas
Z Combo Line Differential: 2.4713
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 3.17969041
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 2.47131642
Z Combo Total: 66.2500
Actual O/U: 64.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Texas St. 30, North Texas 28
AASM+HCA Pick Texas St. did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick North Texas covered (win)
Sagarin Pick North Texas covered (win)
DRating Pick North Texas covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick North Texas covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick North Texas covered (win)
Z Combo Pick North Texas covered (win)
Game went under 64.0
Massey O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
DRating O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
== 2025-01-03 Dukes Mayo
Minnesota
Record: 6-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 27 (13.527)
Actual Line: -9.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +0.5569
Massey Rank: 29
Massey Points: 22.0000
Massey Line: -2.0000
Sagarin Rank: 30
Sagarin Points: 23.0500
Sagarin Line: -1.2500
Pred. Tr. Line: +0.0976
DRating Rank: 32
DRating Points: 20.9000
DRating Line: -3.2000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 28.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 23
Z Combo Points: 23.4875
Z Combo Line: -1.9786
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -2.500
Virginia Tech
Record: 6-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 28 (13.084)
Actual Line: +9.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -0.5569
Massey Rank: 53
Massey Points: 20.0000
Massey Line: +2.0000
Sagarin Rank: 37
Sagarin Points: 21.8000
Sagarin Line: +1.2500
DRating Rank: 35
DRating Points: 17.7000
DRating Line: +3.2000
Pred. Tr. Line: -0.0976
Bobblehead Expert Points: 24.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 30
Z Combo Points: 20.8750
Z Combo Line: +2.3786
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -1.000
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.500
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Virginia Tech
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 10.0569
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Virginia Tech
Massey Line Differential: 7.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 7.50024000
Massey Total: 42.0000
Actual O/U: 42.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Virginia Tech
Sagarin Line Differential: 8.2500
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 8.25000000
Sagarin Total: 44.8500
Actual O/U: 42.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Virginia Tech
DRating Line Differential: 6.3000
DRating Confidence Rating: 6.30003000
DRating Total: 38.6000
Actual O/U: 42.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Virginia Tech
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 9.5976
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 9.59760000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.16140000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -1.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Virginia Tech
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 5.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 5.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 52.0000
Actual O/U: 42.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Virginia Tech
Z Combo Line Differential: 7.5214
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 1.58352824
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 7.52137433
Z Combo Total: 44.3625
Actual O/U: 42.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Minnesota 24, Virginia Tech 10
AASM+HCA Pick Virginia Tech did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick Virginia Tech did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick Virginia Tech did not cover (loss)
DRating Pick Virginia Tech did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Virginia Tech did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Virginia Tech did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Virginia Tech did not cover (loss)
Game went under 42.5
Massey O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
DRating O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
== 2025-01-04 Bahamas
Liberty
Record: 7-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 97 (-9.455)
Actual Line: +4.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +4.6666
Massey Rank: 97
Massey Points: 27.0000
Massey Line: +3.0000
Sagarin Rank: 91
Sagarin Points: 30.4900
Sagarin Line: -1.9700
Pred. Tr. Line: +2.3233
DRating Rank: 90
DRating Points: 20.3000
DRating Line: -4.5000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 35.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +3.0000
Z Combo Rank: 75
Z Combo Points: 28.1975
Z Combo Line: +0.2393
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -3.000
Buffalo
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 119 (-17.122)
Actual Line: -4.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -4.6666
Massey Rank: 104
Massey Points: 24.0000
Massey Line: -3.0000
Sagarin Rank: 114
Sagarin Points: 28.5200
Sagarin Line: +1.9700
DRating Rank: 99
DRating Points: 24.8000
DRating Line: +4.5000
Pred. Tr. Line: -2.3233
Bobblehead Expert Points: 38.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -3.0000
Z Combo Rank: 87
Z Combo Points: 28.8300
Z Combo Line: -1.4393
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Buffalo
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 0.1666
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Liberty
Massey Line Differential: 1.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 1.50007000
Massey Total: 51.0000
Actual O/U: 50.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Liberty
Sagarin Line Differential: 2.5300
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 2.53000000
Sagarin Total: 59.0100
Actual O/U: 50.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Liberty
DRating Line Differential: 9.0000
DRating Confidence Rating: 9.00009000
DRating Total: 45.1000
Actual O/U: 50.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Liberty
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 2.1767
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 2.17670000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 7.72000000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 4.10000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Liberty
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 7.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 7.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 73.0000
Actual O/U: 50.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Liberty
Z Combo Line Differential: 5.9393
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 3.81107781
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 5.93931741
Z Combo Total: 57.0275
Actual O/U: 50.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Liberty 7, Buffalo 26
AASM+HCA Pick Buffalo covered (win)
Massey Pick Liberty did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick Liberty did not cover (loss)
DRating Pick Liberty did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Liberty did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Liberty did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Liberty did not cover (loss)
Game went under 50.5
Massey O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
DRating O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
== 2025-01-09 CFP Semifinal 1
Notre Dame
Record: 13-1
AASM+HCA Rank: 1 (29.744)
Actual Line: -1.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -6.9594
Massey Rank: 2
Massey Points: 27.0000
Massey Line: -3.0000
Sagarin Rank: 2
Sagarin Points: 27.8300
Sagarin Line: -2.9600
Pred. Tr. Line: -2.8726
DRating Rank: 4
DRating Points: 25.2000
DRating Line: -2.5000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 27.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -1.0000
Z Combo Rank: 1
Z Combo Points: 26.7575
Z Combo Line: -3.2839
Penn St.
Record: 13-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 9 (22.785)
Actual Line: +1.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +6.9594
Massey Rank: 6
Massey Points: 24.0000
Massey Line: +3.0000
Sagarin Rank: 4
Sagarin Points: 24.8700
Sagarin Line: +2.9600
DRating Rank: 3
DRating Points: 22.7000
DRating Line: +2.5000
Pred. Tr. Line: +2.8726
Bobblehead Expert Points: 26.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +1.0000
Z Combo Rank: 4
Z Combo Points: 24.3925
Z Combo Line: +3.2839
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Notre Dame
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 5.4594
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Notre Dame
Massey Line Differential: 1.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 1.50004000
Massey Total: 51.0000
Actual O/U: 45.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite Notre Dame
Sagarin Line Differential: 1.4600
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 1.46000000
Sagarin Total: 52.7000
Actual O/U: 45.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Favorite Notre Dame
DRating Line Differential: 1.0000
DRating Confidence Rating: 1.00001000
DRating Total: 47.9000
Actual O/U: 45.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite Notre Dame
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 1.3726
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 1.37260000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 2.61670000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -2.73000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Penn St.
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 0.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 0.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 53.0000
Actual O/U: 45.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite Notre Dame
Z Combo Line Differential: 1.7839
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 1.97612812
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 1.78387735
Z Combo Total: 51.1500
Actual O/U: 45.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Notre Dame 27, Penn St. 24
AASM+HCA Pick Notre Dame covered (win)
Massey Pick Notre Dame covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Notre Dame covered (win)
DRating Pick Notre Dame covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Notre Dame covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Penn St. did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Notre Dame covered (win)
Game went over 45.5
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
DRating O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
== 2025-01-10 CFP Semifinal 2
Ohio St.
Record: 12-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 3 (27.513)
Actual Line: -6.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +0.6780
Massey Rank: 2
Massey Points: 28.0000
Massey Line: -7.0000
Sagarin Rank: 1
Sagarin Points: 25.1800
Sagarin Line: -1.7600
Pred. Tr. Line: -2.5617
DRating Rank: 1
DRating Points: 26.6000
DRating Line: -5.2000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 27.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -3.0000
Z Combo Rank: 1
Z Combo Points: 26.6950
Z Combo Line: -3.2564
Texas
Record: 13-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 2 (28.191)
Actual Line: +6.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -0.6780
Massey Rank: 5
Massey Points: 21.0000
Massey Line: +7.0000
Sagarin Rank: 3
Sagarin Points: 23.4200
Sagarin Line: +1.7600
DRating Rank: 5
DRating Points: 21.4000
DRating Line: +5.2000
Pred. Tr. Line: +2.5617
Bobblehead Expert Points: 24.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +3.0000
Z Combo Rank: 3
Z Combo Points: 22.4550
Z Combo Line: +3.2564
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Texas
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 6.6780
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Ohio St.
Massey Line Differential: 1.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 1.00003000
Massey Total: 49.0000
Actual O/U: 52.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Texas
Sagarin Line Differential: 4.2400
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 4.24000000
Sagarin Total: 48.6000
Actual O/U: 52.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Texas
DRating Line Differential: 0.8000
DRating Confidence Rating: 0.80004000
DRating Total: 48.0000
Actual O/U: 52.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Texas
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 3.4383
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 3.43830000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 2.58390000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -2.40500000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Texas
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 3.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 3.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 51.0000
Actual O/U: 52.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Texas
Z Combo Line Differential: 2.7436
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 2.66745564
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 2.74360048
Z Combo Total: 49.1500
Actual O/U: 52.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Under
== Final Score Ohio St. 28, Texas 14
AASM+HCA Pick Texas did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick Ohio St. covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Texas did not cover (loss)
DRating Pick Texas did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Texas did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Texas did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Texas did not cover (loss)
Game went under 52.5
Massey O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
DRating O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
== 2025-01-20 CFP Finals
Ohio St.
Record: 13-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 2 (28.767)
Actual Line: -8.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -0.2916
Massey Rank: 1
Massey Points: 28.2500
Massey Line: -6.2500
Sagarin Rank: 1
Sagarin Points: 26.5500
Sagarin Line: -3.7600
Pred. Tr. Line: -3.6502
DRating Rank: 1
DRating Points: 26.6500
DRating Line: -8.0500
Bobblehead Expert Points: 27.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -10.0000
Z Combo Rank: 1
Z Combo Points: 27.1125
Z Combo Line: -5.6703
Notre Dame
Record: 14-1
AASM+HCA Rank: 1 (29.725)
Actual Line: +8.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +0.2916
Massey Rank: 2
Massey Points: 22.0000
Massey Line: +6.2500
Sagarin Rank: 2
Sagarin Points: 22.7900
Sagarin Line: +3.7600
DRating Rank: 3
DRating Points: 18.6000
DRating Line: +8.0500
Pred. Tr. Line: +3.6502
Bobblehead Expert Points: 17.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +10.0000
Z Combo Rank: 1
Z Combo Points: 20.0975
Z Combo Line: +5.1703
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -1.000
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Notre Dame
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 8.2084
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Notre Dame
Massey Line Differential: 2.2500
Massey Confidence Rating: 2.25001000
Massey Total: 50.2500
Actual O/U: 45.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Notre Dame
Sagarin Line Differential: 4.7400
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 4.74000000
Sagarin Total: 49.3400
Actual O/U: 45.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Notre Dame
DRating Line Differential: 0.4500
DRating Confidence Rating: 0.45002000
DRating Total: 45.2500
Actual O/U: 45.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Notre Dame
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 4.8498
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 4.84980000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 2.70970000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -2.35500000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Ohio St.
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 1.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 1.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 44.0000
Actual O/U: 45.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Notre Dame
Z Combo Line Differential: 2.8297
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 3.38598827
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 2.82967251
Z Combo Total: 47.2100
Actual O/U: 45.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Ohio St. 34, Notre Dame 23
AASM+HCA Pick Notre Dame did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick Notre Dame did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick Notre Dame did not cover (loss)
DRating Pick Notre Dame did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Notre Dame did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Ohio St. covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Notre Dame did not cover (loss)
Game went over 45.5
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
DRating O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
=== Bowl games played Summary:
Bowl Games On this day: 1
AASM+HCA Totals: Wins 0, Losses 1, Pushes 0 ( 0.0 %)
Massey Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 0, Losses 1, Pushes 0 ( 0.0 %)
Massey O/U Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 1, Losses 0, Pushes 0 (100.0 %)
Sagarin Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 0, Losses 1, Pushes 0 ( 0.0 %)
Sagarin O/U Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 1, Losses 0, Pushes 0 (100.0 %)
DRating Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 0, Losses 1, Pushes 0 ( 0.0 %)
DRating O/U Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 0, Losses 1, Pushes 0 ( 0.0 %)
Pred. Tr. Line Totals: Wins 0, Losses 1, Pushes 0 ( 0.0 %)
Bobblehead Expert Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 1, Losses 0, Pushes 0 (100.0 %)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 0, Losses 1, Pushes 0 ( 0.0 %)
ZCombo Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 0, Losses 1, Pushes 0 ( 0.0 %)
ZCombo O/U Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 1, Losses 0, Pushes 0 (100.0 %)
=== Total Bowl games played Summary:
Total Bowl Games Played: 47
AASM+HCA Totals: Wins 21, Losses 24, Pushes 2 (44.7 %)
Massey Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 24, Losses 21, Pushes 2 (51.1 %)
Massey O/U Totals: Pickems 1, Wins 28, Losses 18, Pushes 0 (60.9 %)
Sagarin Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 20, Losses 25, Pushes 2 (42.6 %)
Sagarin O/U Totals: Pickems 1, Wins 22, Losses 24, Pushes 0 (47.8 %)
DRating Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 19, Losses 26, Pushes 2 (40.4 %)
DRating O/U Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 27, Losses 20, Pushes 0 (57.4 %)
Pred. Tr. Line Totals: Wins 21, Losses 24, Pushes 2 (44.7 %)
Bobblehead Expert Totals: Pickems 2, Wins 20, Losses 23, Pushes 2 (44.4 %)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Totals: Pickems 2, Wins 20, Losses 25, Pushes 0 (44.4 %)
ZCombo Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 20, Losses 25, Pushes 2 (42.6 %)
ZCombo O/U Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 24, Losses 23, Pushes 0 (51.1 %)