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The Dave Daniels 2024 Bowl Pool
ZTout Basketball Site
2024 ZTOUT NCAA BOWL PREDICTIONS
Note: Actual Lines below taken from DraftKings CO 12/22/2024
Results
Daily Lines
===== ZTout Bowl Daily predictions:
== 2024-12-23 Myrtle Beach
UTSA
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 100 (-12.120)
Actual Line: -11.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -1.0474
Massey Rank: 96
Massey Points: 31.0000
Massey Line: -2.0000
Sagarin Rank: 79
Sagarin Points: 35.7300
Sagarin Line: -7.3700
Pred. Tr. Line: -5.5580
DRating Rank: 95
DRating Points: 30.5000
DRating Line: -7.4000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 34.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -10.0000
Z Combo Rank: 74
Z Combo Points: 32.8075
Z Combo Line: -5.5635
Coastal Carolina
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 94 (-9.168)
Actual Line: +11.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +1.0474
Massey Rank: 93
Massey Points: 29.0000
Massey Line: +2.0000
Sagarin Rank: 104
Sagarin Points: 28.3600
Sagarin Line: +7.3700
DRating Rank: 83
DRating Points: 23.1000
DRating Line: +7.4000
Pred. Tr. Line: +5.5580
Bobblehead Expert Points: 24.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +10.0000
Z Combo Rank: 74
Z Combo Points: 26.1150
Z Combo Line: +3.9635
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -4.000
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Coastal Carolina
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 10.4526
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Coastal Carolina
Massey Line Differential: 9.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 9.50003000
Massey Total: 60.0000
Actual O/U: 55.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Coastal Carolina
Sagarin Line Differential: 4.1300
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 4.13000000
Sagarin Total: 64.0900
Actual O/U: 55.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Coastal Carolina
DRating Line Differential: 4.1000
DRating Confidence Rating: 4.10012000
DRating Total: 53.6000
Actual O/U: 55.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Coastal Carolina
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 5.9420
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 5.94200000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 4.39700000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 1.33500000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Coastal Carolina
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 1.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 1.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 58.0000
Actual O/U: 55.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Coastal Carolina
Z Combo Line Differential: 5.9365
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 3.44709364
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 5.93651723
Z Combo Total: 58.9225
Actual O/U: 55.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== 2024-12-23 Potato
Northern Illinois
Record: 6-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 87 (-6.446)
Actual Line: -3.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +0.7284
Massey Rank: 102
Massey Points: 17.0000
Massey Line: +7.7500
Sagarin Rank: 106
Sagarin Points: 17.3400
Sagarin Line: +5.4600
Pred. Tr. Line: +2.9473
DRating Rank: 90
DRating Points: 22.0000
DRating Line: +1.3500
Bobblehead Expert Points: 19.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -5.0000
Z Combo Rank: 77
Z Combo Points: 18.8350
Z Combo Line: +2.0577
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -1.250
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -2.000
Fresno St.
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 88 (-6.468)
Actual Line: +3.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -0.7284
Massey Rank: 80
Massey Points: 24.7500
Massey Line: -7.7500
Sagarin Rank: 81
Sagarin Points: 22.8000
Sagarin Line: -5.4600
DRating Rank: 81
DRating Points: 23.3500
DRating Line: -1.3500
Pred. Tr. Line: -2.9473
Bobblehead Expert Points: 14.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +5.0000
Z Combo Rank: 66
Z Combo Points: 21.2250
Z Combo Line: -1.7577
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -1.250
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -1.250
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Fresno St.
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 4.2284
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Fresno St.
Massey Line Differential: 11.2500
Massey Confidence Rating: 11.25022000
Massey Total: 41.7500
Actual O/U: 40.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Fresno St.
Sagarin Line Differential: 8.9600
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 8.96000000
Sagarin Total: 40.1400
Actual O/U: 40.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Fresno St.
DRating Line Differential: 4.8500
DRating Confidence Rating: 4.85009000
DRating Total: 45.3500
Actual O/U: 40.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Fresno St.
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 6.4473
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 6.44730000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 4.23480000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 1.85460000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Northern Illinois
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 1.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 1.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 33.0000
Actual O/U: 40.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Fresno St.
Z Combo Line Differential: 5.5577
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 4.38307705
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 5.55768824
Z Combo Total: 40.0600
Actual O/U: 40.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== 2024-12-24 Hawaii
San Jose St.
Record: 6-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 90 (-7.985)
Actual Line: -3.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -0.6276
Massey Rank: 79
Massey Points: 31.0000
Massey Line: -3.0000
Sagarin Rank: 100
Sagarin Points: 28.6600
Sagarin Line: +2.7400
Pred. Tr. Line: -0.8748
DRating Rank: 93
DRating Points: 29.1000
DRating Line: +0.2000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 35.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -7.0000
Z Combo Rank: 72
Z Combo Points: 30.9400
Z Combo Line: -1.5375
South Florida
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 91 (-8.613)
Actual Line: +3.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +0.6276
Massey Rank: 98
Massey Points: 28.0000
Massey Line: +3.0000
Sagarin Rank: 84
Sagarin Points: 31.4000
Sagarin Line: -2.7400
DRating Rank: 82
DRating Points: 29.3000
DRating Line: -0.2000
Pred. Tr. Line: +0.8748
Bobblehead Expert Points: 28.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +7.0000
Z Combo Rank: 71
Z Combo Points: 29.1750
Z Combo Line: +1.5375
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog South Florida
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 2.3724
Massey Diff Pick: Tossup
Massey Line Differential: 0.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 0.00019000
Massey Total: 59.0000
Actual O/U: 63.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog South Florida
Sagarin Line Differential: 5.7400
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 5.74000000
Sagarin Total: 60.0600
Actual O/U: 63.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog South Florida
DRating Line Differential: 3.2000
DRating Confidence Rating: 3.20011000
DRating Total: 58.4000
Actual O/U: 63.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog South Florida
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 2.1252
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 2.12520000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.75530000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 0.63500000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite San Jose St.
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 4.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 4.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 63.0000
Actual O/U: 63.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Pick
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog South Florida
Z Combo Line Differential: 1.4625
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 3.29003229
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 1.46247112
Z Combo Total: 60.1150
Actual O/U: 63.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Under
== 2024-12-26 GameAbove Sports
Pittsburgh
Record: 6-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 53 ( 5.267)
Actual Line: -6.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -14.2665
Massey Rank: 51
Massey Points: 31.0000
Massey Line: -12.0000
Sagarin Rank: 62
Sagarin Points: 28.0500
Sagarin Line: -10.3100
Pred. Tr. Line: -8.6270
DRating Rank: 45
DRating Points: 30.0000
DRating Line: -7.2000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 23.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -7.0000
Z Combo Rank: 42
Z Combo Points: 28.0125
Z Combo Line: -10.1553
Toledo
Record: 6-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 92 (-9.000)
Actual Line: +6.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +14.2665
Massey Rank: 100
Massey Points: 19.0000
Massey Line: +12.0000
Sagarin Rank: 108
Sagarin Points: 17.7400
Sagarin Line: +10.3100
DRating Rank: 97
DRating Points: 22.8000
DRating Line: +7.2000
Pred. Tr. Line: +8.6270
Bobblehead Expert Points: 16.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +7.0000
Z Combo Rank: 79
Z Combo Points: 18.8850
Z Combo Line: +10.1553
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Pittsburgh
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 7.7665
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Pittsburgh
Massey Line Differential: 5.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 5.50049000
Massey Total: 50.0000
Actual O/U: 51.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite Pittsburgh
Sagarin Line Differential: 3.8100
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 3.81000000
Sagarin Total: 45.7900
Actual O/U: 51.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
DRating Diff Pick: Favorite Pittsburgh
DRating Line Differential: 0.7000
DRating Confidence Rating: 0.70052000
DRating Total: 52.8000
Actual O/U: 51.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite Pittsburgh
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 2.1270
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 2.12700000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 7.11320000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -10.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Pittsburgh
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 0.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 0.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 39.0000
Actual O/U: 51.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite Pittsburgh
Z Combo Line Differential: 3.6553
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 2.79350707
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 3.65529701
Z Combo Total: 46.8975
Actual O/U: 51.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Under
== 2024-12-26 Guaranteed Rate
Kansas St.
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 30 (12.006)
Actual Line: -6.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -3.8558
Massey Rank: 26
Massey Points: 31.0000
Massey Line: -10.0000
Sagarin Rank: 25
Sagarin Points: 30.4300
Sagarin Line: -6.3200
Pred. Tr. Line: -7.0020
DRating Rank: 22
DRating Points: 27.6000
DRating Line: -7.2000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 20.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 20
Z Combo Points: 27.2575
Z Combo Line: -4.6752
Rutgers
Record: 6-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 43 ( 8.150)
Actual Line: +6.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +3.8558
Massey Rank: 49
Massey Points: 21.0000
Massey Line: +10.0000
Sagarin Rank: 49
Sagarin Points: 24.1100
Sagarin Line: +6.3200
DRating Rank: 56
DRating Points: 20.4000
DRating Line: +7.2000
Pred. Tr. Line: +7.0020
Bobblehead Expert Points: 24.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 39
Z Combo Points: 22.3775
Z Combo Line: +4.6752
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Rutgers
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 2.6442
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Kansas St.
Massey Line Differential: 3.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 3.50023000
Massey Total: 52.0000
Actual O/U: 50.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Rutgers
Sagarin Line Differential: 0.1800
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 0.18000000
Sagarin Total: 54.5400
Actual O/U: 50.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Favorite Kansas St.
DRating Line Differential: 0.7000
DRating Confidence Rating: 0.70034000
DRating Total: 48.0000
Actual O/U: 50.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite Kansas St.
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 0.5020
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 0.50200000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.29480000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 7.29930000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Rutgers
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 10.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 10.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 44.0000
Actual O/U: 50.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Rutgers
Z Combo Line Differential: 1.8248
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 4.76159609
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 1.82483977
Z Combo Total: 49.6350
Actual O/U: 50.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Under
== 2024-12-26 Sixty Eight Ventures
Bowling Green
Record: 6-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 76 (-3.856)
Actual Line: -8.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -11.8814
Massey Rank: 99
Massey Points: 28.0000
Massey Line: -4.0000
Sagarin Rank: 95
Sagarin Points: 26.0400
Sagarin Line: -5.2100
Pred. Tr. Line: -7.8327
DRating Rank: 91
DRating Points: 27.5000
DRating Line: -2.8000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 27.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 72
Z Combo Points: 27.1350
Z Combo Line: -5.5783
Arkansas St.
Record: 6-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 116 (-15.737)
Actual Line: +8.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +11.8814
Massey Rank: 103
Massey Points: 24.0000
Massey Line: +4.0000
Sagarin Rank: 116
Sagarin Points: 20.8300
Sagarin Line: +5.2100
DRating Rank: 96
DRating Points: 24.7000
DRating Line: +2.8000
Pred. Tr. Line: +7.8327
Bobblehead Expert Points: 23.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 86
Z Combo Points: 23.1325
Z Combo Line: +5.5783
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Bowling Green
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 3.8814
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Arkansas St.
Massey Line Differential: 4.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 4.00004000
Massey Total: 52.0000
Actual O/U: 53.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Arkansas St.
Sagarin Line Differential: 2.7900
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 2.79000000
Sagarin Total: 46.8700
Actual O/U: 53.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Arkansas St.
DRating Line Differential: 5.2000
DRating Confidence Rating: 5.20005000
DRating Total: 52.2000
Actual O/U: 53.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Arkansas St.
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 0.1673
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 0.16730000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 2.98250000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 8.23000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Arkansas St.
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 4.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 4.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 50.0000
Actual O/U: 53.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Arkansas St.
Z Combo Line Differential: 2.4217
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 3.24241179
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 2.42171296
Z Combo Total: 50.2675
Actual O/U: 53.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Under
== 2024-12-27 Birmingham
Georgia Tech
Record: 5-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 35 (10.949)
Actual Line: -2.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +0.6959
Massey Rank: 38
Massey Points: 27.0000
Massey Line: -3.0000
Sagarin Rank: 42
Sagarin Points: 26.2500
Sagarin Line: -3.5400
Pred. Tr. Line: -3.0076
DRating Rank: 38
DRating Points: 25.3000
DRating Line: -1.0000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 28.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -5.0000
Z Combo Rank: 30
Z Combo Points: 26.6375
Z Combo Line: -2.3688
Vanderbilt
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 31 (11.645)
Actual Line: +2.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -0.6959
Massey Rank: 47
Massey Points: 24.0000
Massey Line: +3.0000
Sagarin Rank: 56
Sagarin Points: 22.7100
Sagarin Line: +3.5400
DRating Rank: 50
DRating Points: 24.3000
DRating Line: +1.0000
Pred. Tr. Line: +3.0076
Bobblehead Expert Points: 23.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +5.0000
Z Combo Rank: 36
Z Combo Points: 23.5025
Z Combo Line: +2.3688
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Vanderbilt
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 3.1959
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Georgia Tech
Massey Line Differential: 0.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 0.50009000
Massey Total: 51.0000
Actual O/U: 51.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite Georgia Tech
Sagarin Line Differential: 1.0400
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 1.04000000
Sagarin Total: 48.9600
Actual O/U: 51.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Vanderbilt
DRating Line Differential: 1.5000
DRating Confidence Rating: 1.50012000
DRating Total: 49.6000
Actual O/U: 51.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite Georgia Tech
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 0.5076
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 0.50760000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 4.63200000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -2.14690000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Georgia Tech
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 2.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 2.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 51.0000
Actual O/U: 51.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Vanderbilt
Z Combo Line Differential: 0.1312
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 1.99796428
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 0.13117903
Z Combo Total: 50.1400
Actual O/U: 51.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Under
== 2024-12-27 Armed Forces
Oklahoma
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 26 (14.140)
Actual Line: -3.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -12.0103
Massey Rank: 25
Massey Points: 31.0000
Massey Line: -14.0000
Sagarin Rank: 30
Sagarin Points: 29.5900
Sagarin Line: -8.7400
Pred. Tr. Line: -8.9227
DRating Rank: 30
DRating Points: 27.8000
DRating Line: -8.7000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 20.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 22
Z Combo Points: 27.0975
Z Combo Line: -7.8901
Navy
Record: 8-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 61 ( 2.129)
Actual Line: +3.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +12.0103
Massey Rank: 59
Massey Points: 17.0000
Massey Line: +14.0000
Sagarin Rank: 64
Sagarin Points: 20.8500
Sagarin Line: +8.7400
DRating Rank: 65
DRating Points: 19.1000
DRating Line: +8.7000
Pred. Tr. Line: +8.9227
Bobblehead Expert Points: 24.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 49
Z Combo Points: 20.2375
Z Combo Line: +7.8901
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Oklahoma
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 9.0103
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Oklahoma
Massey Line Differential: 11.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 11.00034000
Massey Total: 48.0000
Actual O/U: 43.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite Oklahoma
Sagarin Line Differential: 5.7400
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 5.74000000
Sagarin Total: 50.4400
Actual O/U: 43.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Favorite Oklahoma
DRating Line Differential: 5.7000
DRating Confidence Rating: 5.70035000
DRating Total: 46.9000
Actual O/U: 43.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite Oklahoma
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 5.9227
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 5.92270000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 7.57490000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -9.70910000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Navy
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 7.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 7.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 44.0000
Actual O/U: 43.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite Oklahoma
Z Combo Line Differential: 4.8901
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 6.27789628
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 4.89006574
Z Combo Total: 47.3350
Actual O/U: 43.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== 2024-12-27 Liberty
Arkansas
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 41 ( 9.278)
Actual Line: -2.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +0.1942
Massey Rank: 37
Massey Points: 30.0000
Massey Line: +1.0000
Sagarin Rank: 44
Sagarin Points: 31.8200
Sagarin Line: +2.7700
Pred. Tr. Line: +1.4632
DRating Rank: 52
DRating Points: 32.9000
DRating Line: -4.1000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 31.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 34
Z Combo Points: 31.4300
Z Combo Line: -0.8272
Texas Tech
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 40 ( 9.472)
Actual Line: +2.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -0.1942
Massey Rank: 34
Massey Points: 31.0000
Massey Line: -1.0000
Sagarin Rank: 34
Sagarin Points: 34.5900
Sagarin Line: -2.7700
DRating Rank: 37
DRating Points: 28.8000
DRating Line: +4.1000
Pred. Tr. Line: -1.4632
Bobblehead Expert Points: 27.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 29
Z Combo Points: 30.3475
Z Combo Line: +0.8272
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Texas Tech
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 2.1942
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Texas Tech
Massey Line Differential: 3.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 3.00003000
Massey Total: 61.0000
Actual O/U: 53.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Texas Tech
Sagarin Line Differential: 4.7700
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 4.77000000
Sagarin Total: 66.4100
Actual O/U: 53.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Favorite Arkansas
DRating Line Differential: 2.1000
DRating Confidence Rating: 2.10015000
DRating Total: 61.7000
Actual O/U: 53.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Texas Tech
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 3.4632
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 3.46320000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.84930000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -1.34300000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Arkansas
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 2.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 2.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 58.0000
Actual O/U: 53.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Texas Tech
Z Combo Line Differential: 1.1728
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 2.76042354
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 1.17284443
Z Combo Total: 61.7775
Actual O/U: 53.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== 2024-12-27 Las Vegas
Texas A&M
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 17 (18.373)
Actual Line: -3.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -0.7389
Massey Rank: 16
Massey Points: 30.0000
Massey Line: -2.0000
Sagarin Rank: 19
Sagarin Points: 28.4600
Sagarin Line: -1.4900
Pred. Tr. Line: -0.7873
DRating Rank: 19
DRating Points: 26.8000
DRating Line: -3.0000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 24.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 14
Z Combo Points: 27.3150
Z Combo Line: -2.2458
Southern California
Record: 6-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 20 (17.634)
Actual Line: +3.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +0.7389
Massey Rank: 29
Massey Points: 28.0000
Massey Line: +2.0000
Sagarin Rank: 26
Sagarin Points: 26.9700
Sagarin Line: +1.4900
DRating Rank: 28
DRating Points: 23.8000
DRating Line: +3.0000
Pred. Tr. Line: +0.7873
Bobblehead Expert Points: 20.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 20
Z Combo Points: 24.6925
Z Combo Line: +2.2458
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Southern California
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 2.7611
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Southern California
Massey Line Differential: 1.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 1.50013000
Massey Total: 58.0000
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Southern California
Sagarin Line Differential: 2.0100
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 2.01000000
Sagarin Total: 55.4300
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Southern California
DRating Line Differential: 0.5000
DRating Confidence Rating: 0.50009000
DRating Total: 50.6000
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Southern California
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 2.7127
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 2.71270000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 2.99240000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -0.94190000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Texas A&M
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 0.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 0.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 44.0000
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Southern California
Z Combo Line Differential: 1.2542
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 1.14440602
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 1.25421280
Z Combo Total: 52.0075
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== 2024-12-27 Holiday
Syracuse
Record: 8-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 47 ( 7.295)
Actual Line: -16.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -8.8076
Massey Rank: 39
Massey Points: 31.0000
Massey Line: +2.0000
Sagarin Rank: 46
Sagarin Points: 34.7600
Sagarin Line: -5.1400
Pred. Tr. Line: -4.9090
DRating Rank: 49
DRating Points: 33.1000
DRating Line: -3.0000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 38.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -11.0000
Z Combo Rank: 36
Z Combo Points: 34.2150
Z Combo Line: -5.1895
Washington St.
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 71 (-1.512)
Actual Line: +16.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +8.8076
Massey Rank: 58
Massey Points: 33.0000
Massey Line: -2.0000
Sagarin Rank: 69
Sagarin Points: 29.6200
Sagarin Line: +5.1400
DRating Rank: 63
DRating Points: 30.1000
DRating Line: +3.0000
Pred. Tr. Line: +4.9090
Bobblehead Expert Points: 27.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +11.0000
Z Combo Rank: 52
Z Combo Points: 29.9300
Z Combo Line: +5.1895
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Washington St.
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 7.1924
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Washington St.
Massey Line Differential: 18.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 18.00019000
Massey Total: 64.0000
Actual O/U: 59.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Washington St.
Sagarin Line Differential: 10.8600
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 10.86000000
Sagarin Total: 64.3800
Actual O/U: 59.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Washington St.
DRating Line Differential: 13.0000
DRating Confidence Rating: 13.00014000
DRating Total: 63.2000
Actual O/U: 59.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Washington St.
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 11.0910
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 11.09100000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 6.72830000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -5.40000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Washington St.
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 5.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 5.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 65.0000
Actual O/U: 59.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Washington St.
Z Combo Line Differential: 10.8105
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 4.54615614
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 10.81048415
Z Combo Total: 64.1450
Actual O/U: 59.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== 2024-12-28 Fenway
North Carolina
Record: 4-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 60 ( 2.588)
Actual Line: -3.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -7.6224
Massey Rank: 61
Massey Points: 35.0000
Massey Line: -14.0000
Sagarin Rank: 66
Sagarin Points: 33.0500
Sagarin Line: -7.2100
Pred. Tr. Line: -7.4909
DRating Rank: 62
DRating Points: 29.1000
DRating Line: -5.0000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 24.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +9.0000
Z Combo Rank: 49
Z Combo Points: 30.2875
Z Combo Line: -4.9665
Connecticut
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 81 (-5.035)
Actual Line: +3.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +7.6224
Massey Rank: 91
Massey Points: 21.0000
Massey Line: +14.0000
Sagarin Rank: 97
Sagarin Points: 25.8400
Sagarin Line: +7.2100
DRating Rank: 85
DRating Points: 24.1000
DRating Line: +5.0000
Pred. Tr. Line: +7.4909
Bobblehead Expert Points: 33.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -9.0000
Z Combo Rank: 70
Z Combo Points: 25.9850
Z Combo Line: +4.9665
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite North Carolina
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 4.6224
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite North Carolina
Massey Line Differential: 11.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 11.00030000
Massey Total: 56.0000
Actual O/U: 53.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite North Carolina
Sagarin Line Differential: 4.2100
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 4.21000000
Sagarin Total: 58.8900
Actual O/U: 53.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Favorite North Carolina
DRating Line Differential: 2.0000
DRating Confidence Rating: 2.00023000
DRating Total: 53.2000
Actual O/U: 53.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite North Carolina
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 4.4909
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 4.49090000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 5.20010000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 7.29500000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Connecticut
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 12.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 12.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 57.0000
Actual O/U: 53.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite North Carolina
Z Combo Line Differential: 1.9665
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 7.59941473
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 1.96648217
Z Combo Total: 56.2725
Actual O/U: 53.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== 2024-12-28 Pinstripe
Nebraska
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 33 (11.067)
Actual Line: -2.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -4.6720
Massey Rank: 45
Massey Points: 24.0000
Massey Line: -3.2500
Sagarin Rank: 36
Sagarin Points: 25.5600
Sagarin Line: -3.6100
Pred. Tr. Line: -1.4225
DRating Rank: 39
DRating Points: 22.8000
DRating Line: +0.1500
Bobblehead Expert Points: 21.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +6.0000
Z Combo Rank: 30
Z Combo Points: 23.3400
Z Combo Line: -1.0764
Boston College
Record: 6-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 49 ( 6.645)
Actual Line: +2.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +4.6720
Massey Rank: 53
Massey Points: 20.7500
Massey Line: +3.2500
Sagarin Rank: 51
Sagarin Points: 21.9500
Sagarin Line: +3.6100
DRating Rank: 54
DRating Points: 22.9500
DRating Line: -0.1500
Pred. Tr. Line: +1.4225
Bobblehead Expert Points: 27.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -6.0000
Z Combo Rank: 41
Z Combo Points: 23.1625
Z Combo Line: +0.9764
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Nebraska
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 2.1720
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Nebraska
Massey Line Differential: 0.7500
Massey Confidence Rating: 0.75008000
Massey Total: 44.7500
Actual O/U: 45.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite Nebraska
Sagarin Line Differential: 1.1100
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 1.11000000
Sagarin Total: 47.5100
Actual O/U: 45.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Boston College
DRating Line Differential: 2.6500
DRating Confidence Rating: 2.65015000
DRating Total: 45.7500
Actual O/U: 45.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Boston College
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 1.0775
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 1.07750000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 2.68250000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 0.65500000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Boston College
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 8.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 8.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 48.0000
Actual O/U: 45.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Boston College
Z Combo Line Differential: 1.4236
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 3.88977272
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 1.42359556
Z Combo Total: 46.5025
Actual O/U: 45.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== 2024-12-28 New Mexico
TCU
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 44 ( 7.963)
Actual Line: -12.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -9.6834
Massey Rank: 32
Massey Points: 35.0000
Massey Line: -14.0000
Sagarin Rank: 32
Sagarin Points: 33.4700
Sagarin Line: -10.5000
Pred. Tr. Line: -8.6598
DRating Rank: 35
DRating Points: 34.3000
DRating Line: -10.1000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 36.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -7.0000
Z Combo Rank: 28
Z Combo Points: 34.6925
Z Combo Line: -10.2567
Louisiana
Record: 9-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 72 (-1.720)
Actual Line: +12.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +9.6834
Massey Rank: 70
Massey Points: 21.0000
Massey Line: +14.0000
Sagarin Rank: 72
Sagarin Points: 22.9700
Sagarin Line: +10.5000
DRating Rank: 61
DRating Points: 24.2000
DRating Line: +10.1000
Pred. Tr. Line: +8.6598
Bobblehead Expert Points: 29.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +7.0000
Z Combo Rank: 55
Z Combo Points: 24.2925
Z Combo Line: +10.2567
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Louisiana
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 2.8166
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite TCU
Massey Line Differential: 1.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 1.50038000
Massey Total: 56.0000
Actual O/U: 58.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Louisiana
Sagarin Line Differential: 2.0000
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 2.00000000
Sagarin Total: 56.4400
Actual O/U: 58.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Louisiana
DRating Line Differential: 2.4000
DRating Confidence Rating: 2.40026000
DRating Total: 58.5000
Actual O/U: 58.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Louisiana
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 3.8402
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 3.84020000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.91060000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 8.96830000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Louisiana
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 5.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 5.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 65.0000
Actual O/U: 58.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Louisiana
Z Combo Line Differential: 2.2433
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 2.23744308
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 2.24331043
Z Combo Total: 58.9850
Actual O/U: 58.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== 2024-12-28 Pop Tarts
Miami FL
Record: 9-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 12 (20.964)
Actual Line: -3.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -6.6036
Massey Rank: 20
Massey Points: 31.0000
Massey Line: -1.0000
Sagarin Rank: 14
Sagarin Points: 35.1700
Sagarin Line: -3.2000
Pred. Tr. Line: -4.2874
DRating Rank: 12
DRating Points: 28.5000
DRating Line: -0.3000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 27.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +11.0000
Z Combo Rank: 11
Z Combo Points: 30.4175
Z Combo Line: -0.0207
Iowa St.
Record: 9-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 25 (14.360)
Actual Line: +3.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +6.6036
Massey Rank: 22
Massey Points: 30.0000
Massey Line: +1.0000
Sagarin Rank: 27
Sagarin Points: 31.9700
Sagarin Line: +3.2000
DRating Rank: 21
DRating Points: 28.2000
DRating Line: +0.3000
Pred. Tr. Line: +4.2874
Bobblehead Expert Points: 38.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -11.0000
Z Combo Rank: 19
Z Combo Points: 32.0425
Z Combo Line: +0.0207
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Miami FL
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 3.6036
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Iowa St.
Massey Line Differential: 2.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 2.00002000
Massey Total: 61.0000
Actual O/U: 56.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite Miami FL
Sagarin Line Differential: 0.2000
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 0.20000000
Sagarin Total: 67.1400
Actual O/U: 56.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Iowa St.
DRating Line Differential: 2.7000
DRating Confidence Rating: 2.70009000
DRating Total: 56.7000
Actual O/U: 56.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite Miami FL
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 1.2874
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 1.28740000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.02390000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 4.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Iowa St.
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 14.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 14.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 65.0000
Actual O/U: 56.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Iowa St.
Z Combo Line Differential: 2.9793
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 5.93187970
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 2.97927092
Z Combo Total: 62.4600
Actual O/U: 56.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== 2024-12-28 Arizona
Miami OH
Record: 8-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 79 (-4.498)
Actual Line: -3.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -3.1525
Massey Rank: 83
Massey Points: 24.0000
Massey Line: -3.0000
Sagarin Rank: 86
Sagarin Points: 20.7600
Sagarin Line: +0.8300
Pred. Tr. Line: -3.0128
DRating Rank: 84
DRating Points: 22.7000
DRating Line: +0.1000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 16.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 66
Z Combo Points: 20.8650
Z Combo Line: -0.2445
Colorado St.
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 89 (-7.650)
Actual Line: +3.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +3.1525
Massey Rank: 78
Massey Points: 21.0000
Massey Line: +3.0000
Sagarin Rank: 83
Sagarin Points: 21.5900
Sagarin Line: -0.8300
DRating Rank: 87
DRating Points: 22.8000
DRating Line: -0.1000
Pred. Tr. Line: +3.0128
Bobblehead Expert Points: 20.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 67
Z Combo Points: 21.3475
Z Combo Line: +0.2445
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Miami OH
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 0.1525
Massey Diff Pick: Tossup
Massey Line Differential: 0.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 0.00005000
Massey Total: 45.0000
Actual O/U: 42.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Colorado St.
Sagarin Line Differential: 3.8300
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 3.83000000
Sagarin Total: 42.3500
Actual O/U: 42.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Colorado St.
DRating Line Differential: 3.1000
DRating Confidence Rating: 3.10003000
DRating Total: 45.5000
Actual O/U: 42.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite Miami OH
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 0.0128
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 0.01280000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.82020000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -2.44100000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Colorado St.
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 7.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 7.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 36.0000
Actual O/U: 42.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Colorado St.
Z Combo Line Differential: 2.7555
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 2.65850272
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 2.75550246
Z Combo Total: 42.2125
Actual O/U: 42.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== 2024-12-28 Military
N.C. State
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 64 ( 1.392)
Actual Line: -6.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -12.6158
Massey Rank: 64
Massey Points: 31.0000
Massey Line: -7.0000
Sagarin Rank: 61
Sagarin Points: 36.5500
Sagarin Line: -8.4400
Pred. Tr. Line: -8.9932
DRating Rank: 64
DRating Points: 31.2000
DRating Line: -6.6000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 34.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -8.0000
Z Combo Rank: 50
Z Combo Points: 33.1875
Z Combo Line: -8.5312
East Carolina
Record: 6-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 97 (-11.223)
Actual Line: +6.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +12.6158
Massey Rank: 92
Massey Points: 24.0000
Massey Line: +7.0000
Sagarin Rank: 96
Sagarin Points: 28.1100
Sagarin Line: +8.4400
DRating Rank: 92
DRating Points: 24.6000
DRating Line: +6.6000
Pred. Tr. Line: +8.9932
Bobblehead Expert Points: 26.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +8.0000
Z Combo Rank: 75
Z Combo Points: 25.6775
Z Combo Line: +8.5312
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite N.C. State
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 6.6158
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite N.C. State
Massey Line Differential: 1.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 1.00028000
Massey Total: 55.0000
Actual O/U: 58.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite N.C. State
Sagarin Line Differential: 2.4400
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 2.44000000
Sagarin Total: 64.6600
Actual O/U: 58.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Favorite N.C. State
DRating Line Differential: 0.6000
DRating Confidence Rating: 0.60028000
DRating Total: 55.8000
Actual O/U: 58.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite N.C. State
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 2.9932
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 2.99320000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 5.56670000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 8.20000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite N.C. State
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 2.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 2.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 60.0000
Actual O/U: 58.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite N.C. State
Z Combo Line Differential: 2.5312
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 2.14700623
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 2.53115079
Z Combo Total: 58.8650
Actual O/U: 58.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== 2024-12-28 Alamo
Colorado
Record: 8-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 19 (17.805)
Actual Line: -5.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -4.0136
Massey Rank: 27
Massey Points: 27.0000
Massey Line: +1.0000
Sagarin Rank: 12
Sagarin Points: 31.2900
Sagarin Line: -4.0600
Pred. Tr. Line: -2.3217
DRating Rank: 26
DRating Points: 27.1000
DRating Line: -1.2000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 37.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -6.0000
Z Combo Rank: 16
Z Combo Points: 30.5975
Z Combo Line: -2.8547
BYU
Record: 9-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 28 (13.792)
Actual Line: +5.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +4.0136
Massey Rank: 19
Massey Points: 28.0000
Massey Line: -1.0000
Sagarin Rank: 29
Sagarin Points: 27.2300
Sagarin Line: +4.0600
DRating Rank: 20
DRating Points: 25.9000
DRating Line: +1.2000
Pred. Tr. Line: +2.3217
Bobblehead Expert Points: 31.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +6.0000
Z Combo Rank: 19
Z Combo Points: 28.0325
Z Combo Line: +2.8547
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog BYU
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 0.9864
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog BYU
Massey Line Differential: 6.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 6.00008000
Massey Total: 55.0000
Actual O/U: 54.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog BYU
Sagarin Line Differential: 0.9400
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 0.94000000
Sagarin Total: 58.5200
Actual O/U: 54.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog BYU
DRating Line Differential: 3.8000
DRating Confidence Rating: 3.80006000
DRating Total: 53.0000
Actual O/U: 54.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog BYU
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 2.6783
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 2.67830000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 4.09080000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 2.35500000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Colorado
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 1.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 1.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 68.0000
Actual O/U: 54.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog BYU
Z Combo Line Differential: 2.1453
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 2.46111358
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 2.14528459
Z Combo Total: 58.6300
Actual O/U: 54.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== 2024-12-28 Independence
Army
Record: 10-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 57 ( 3.974)
Actual Line: -17.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -18.9359
Massey Rank: 42
Massey Points: 31.0000
Massey Line: -21.0000
Sagarin Rank: 63
Sagarin Points: 23.0400
Sagarin Line: -11.3300
Pred. Tr. Line: -16.7160
DRating Rank: 53
DRating Points: 35.3000
DRating Line: -22.9000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 31.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -16.0000
Z Combo Rank: 43
Z Combo Points: 30.0850
Z Combo Line: -18.0332
Louisiana Tech
Record: 4-7
AASM+HCA Rank: 113 (-14.962)
Actual Line: +17.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +18.9359
Massey Rank: 118
Massey Points: 10.0000
Massey Line: +21.0000
Sagarin Rank: 118
Sagarin Points: 11.7100
Sagarin Line: +11.3300
DRating Rank: 117
DRating Points: 12.4000
DRating Line: +22.9000
Pred. Tr. Line: +16.7160
Bobblehead Expert Points: 15.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +16.0000
Z Combo Rank: 93
Z Combo Points: 12.2775
Z Combo Line: +18.0332
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Army
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 1.4359
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Army
Massey Line Differential: 3.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 3.50076000
Massey Total: 41.0000
Actual O/U: 44.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Louisiana Tech
Sagarin Line Differential: 6.1700
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 6.17000000
Sagarin Total: 34.7500
Actual O/U: 44.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
DRating Diff Pick: Favorite Army
DRating Line Differential: 5.4000
DRating Confidence Rating: 5.40064000
DRating Total: 47.7000
Actual O/U: 44.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Louisiana Tech
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 0.7840
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 0.78400000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 5.34930000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 16.15000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Louisiana Tech
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 1.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 1.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 46.0000
Actual O/U: 44.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite Army
Z Combo Line Differential: 0.5332
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 4.05879881
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 0.53317275
Z Combo Total: 42.3625
Actual O/U: 44.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Under
== 2024-12-30 Music City
Missouri
Record: 8-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 29 (13.430)
Actual Line: -3.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +2.8363
Massey Rank: 21
Massey Points: 21.7500
Massey Line: -1.0000
Sagarin Rank: 24
Sagarin Points: 22.0800
Sagarin Line: +0.2100
Pred. Tr. Line: -0.5283
DRating Rank: 33
DRating Points: 19.8500
DRating Line: +0.2000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 25.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 21
Z Combo Points: 22.1700
Z Combo Line: -0.3507
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
Iowa
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 22 (16.267)
Actual Line: +3.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -2.8363
Massey Rank: 28
Massey Points: 20.7500
Massey Line: +1.0000
Sagarin Rank: 22
Sagarin Points: 22.2900
Sagarin Line: -0.2100
DRating Rank: 24
DRating Points: 20.0500
DRating Line: -0.2000
Pred. Tr. Line: +0.5283
Bobblehead Expert Points: 21.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 19
Z Combo Points: 21.0225
Z Combo Line: +0.3507
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Iowa
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 5.8363
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Iowa
Massey Line Differential: 2.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 2.00007000
Massey Total: 42.5000
Actual O/U: 40.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Iowa
Sagarin Line Differential: 3.2100
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 3.21000000
Sagarin Total: 44.3700
Actual O/U: 40.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Iowa
DRating Line Differential: 3.2000
DRating Confidence Rating: 3.20009000
DRating Total: 39.9000
Actual O/U: 40.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Iowa
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 2.4717
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 2.47170000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 4.45200000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 0.05000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Missouri
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 1.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 1.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 46.0000
Actual O/U: 40.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Iowa
Z Combo Line Differential: 2.6493
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 2.21421102
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 2.64926149
Z Combo Total: 43.1925
Actual O/U: 40.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== 2024-12-31 ReliaQuest
Alabama
Record: 8-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 4 (28.019)
Actual Line: -11.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -13.7051
Massey Rank: 6
Massey Points: 28.2500
Massey Line: -7.2500
Sagarin Rank: 7
Sagarin Points: 26.5700
Sagarin Line: -7.2100
Pred. Tr. Line: -7.5417
DRating Rank: 8
DRating Points: 28.8500
DRating Line: -12.2500
Bobblehead Expert Points: 30.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -13.0000
Z Combo Rank: 5
Z Combo Points: 28.4175
Z Combo Line: -10.6830
Michigan
Record: 7-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 24 (14.564)
Actual Line: +11.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +13.7051
Massey Rank: 17
Massey Points: 21.0000
Massey Line: +7.2500
Sagarin Rank: 20
Sagarin Points: 19.3600
Sagarin Line: +7.2100
DRating Rank: 23
DRating Points: 16.6000
DRating Line: +12.2500
Pred. Tr. Line: +7.5417
Bobblehead Expert Points: 17.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +13.0000
Z Combo Rank: 16
Z Combo Points: 18.4900
Z Combo Line: +10.5830
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Alabama
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 2.7051
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Michigan
Massey Line Differential: 3.7500
Massey Confidence Rating: 3.75011000
Massey Total: 49.2500
Actual O/U: 43.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Michigan
Sagarin Line Differential: 3.7900
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 3.79000000
Sagarin Total: 45.9300
Actual O/U: 43.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Favorite Alabama
DRating Line Differential: 1.2500
DRating Confidence Rating: 1.25015000
DRating Total: 45.4500
Actual O/U: 43.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Michigan
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 3.4583
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 3.45830000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 7.15120000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -9.03500000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Alabama
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 2.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 2.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 47.0000
Actual O/U: 43.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Michigan
Z Combo Line Differential: 0.3170
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 2.85673070
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 0.31697116
Z Combo Total: 46.9075
Actual O/U: 43.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== 2024-12-31 Sun
Louisville
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 15 (19.042)
Actual Line: -2.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -11.1995
Massey Rank: 24
Massey Points: 28.0000
Massey Line: -4.0000
Sagarin Rank: 17
Sagarin Points: 30.9700
Sagarin Line: -7.9200
Pred. Tr. Line: -7.1249
DRating Rank: 16
DRating Points: 26.9000
DRating Line: -2.5000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 33.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -9.0000
Z Combo Rank: 14
Z Combo Points: 29.7175
Z Combo Line: -6.9239
Washington
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 45 ( 7.842)
Actual Line: +2.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +11.1995
Massey Rank: 35
Massey Points: 24.0000
Massey Line: +4.0000
Sagarin Rank: 47
Sagarin Points: 23.0500
Sagarin Line: +7.9200
DRating Rank: 40
DRating Points: 24.4000
DRating Line: +2.5000
Pred. Tr. Line: +7.1249
Bobblehead Expert Points: 24.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +9.0000
Z Combo Rank: 33
Z Combo Points: 23.8625
Z Combo Line: +6.9239
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Louisville
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 8.6995
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Louisville
Massey Line Differential: 1.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 1.50011000
Massey Total: 52.0000
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite Louisville
Sagarin Line Differential: 5.4200
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 5.42000000
Sagarin Total: 54.0200
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Tossup
DRating Line Differential: 0.0000
DRating Confidence Rating: 0.00024000
DRating Total: 51.3000
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite Louisville
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 4.6249
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 4.62490000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 7.29290000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -8.45000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Louisville
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 6.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 6.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 57.0000
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite Louisville
Z Combo Line Differential: 4.4239
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 3.21569314
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 4.42390392
Z Combo Total: 53.5800
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== 2024-12-31 Citrus
South Carolina
Record: 8-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 10 (23.996)
Actual Line: -9.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -14.1441
Massey Rank: 11
Massey Points: 28.0000
Massey Line: -8.0000
Sagarin Rank: 13
Sagarin Points: 31.3400
Sagarin Line: -6.7400
Pred. Tr. Line: -8.6919
DRating Rank: 13
DRating Points: 28.7000
DRating Line: -12.8000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 27.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -5.0000
Z Combo Rank: 9
Z Combo Points: 28.7600
Z Combo Line: -9.3368
Illinois
Record: 8-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 36 ( 9.852)
Actual Line: +9.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +14.1441
Massey Rank: 31
Massey Points: 20.0000
Massey Line: +8.0000
Sagarin Rank: 39
Sagarin Points: 24.6000
Sagarin Line: +6.7400
DRating Rank: 29
DRating Points: 15.9000
DRating Line: +12.8000
Pred. Tr. Line: +8.6919
Bobblehead Expert Points: 22.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +5.0000
Z Combo Rank: 27
Z Combo Points: 20.6250
Z Combo Line: +9.3368
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite South Carolina
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 4.6441
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Illinois
Massey Line Differential: 1.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 1.50020000
Massey Total: 48.0000
Actual O/U: 48.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Pick
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Illinois
Sagarin Line Differential: 2.7600
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 2.76000000
Sagarin Total: 55.9400
Actual O/U: 48.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Favorite South Carolina
DRating Line Differential: 3.3000
DRating Confidence Rating: 3.30016000
DRating Total: 44.6000
Actual O/U: 48.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Illinois
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 0.8081
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 0.80810000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 4.64590000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -8.85000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Illinois
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 4.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 4.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 49.0000
Actual O/U: 48.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Illinois
Z Combo Line Differential: 0.1632
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 3.53388967
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 0.16318510
Z Combo Total: 49.3850
Actual O/U: 48.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== 2024-12-31 Texas
LSU
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 14 (20.149)
Actual Line: +1.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +8.6350
Massey Rank: 12
Massey Points: 33.0000
Massey Line: +5.0000
Sagarin Rank: 16
Sagarin Points: 30.4200
Sagarin Line: -1.7100
Pred. Tr. Line: +4.1283
DRating Rank: 17
DRating Points: 29.4000
DRating Line: +1.7000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 37.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +2.0000
Z Combo Rank: 11
Z Combo Points: 32.4550
Z Combo Line: +0.4450
Baylor
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 32 (11.514)
Actual Line: -1.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -8.6350
Massey Rank: 30
Massey Points: 28.0000
Massey Line: -5.0000
Sagarin Rank: 23
Sagarin Points: 28.7100
Sagarin Line: +1.7100
DRating Rank: 27
DRating Points: 27.7000
DRating Line: -1.7000
Pred. Tr. Line: -4.1283
Bobblehead Expert Points: 39.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -2.0000
Z Combo Rank: 22
Z Combo Points: 30.8525
Z Combo Line: -0.4450
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Baylor
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 7.1350
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Baylor
Massey Line Differential: 3.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 3.50018000
Massey Total: 61.0000
Actual O/U: 59.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite Baylor
Sagarin Line Differential: 0.2100
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 0.21000000
Sagarin Total: 59.1300
Actual O/U: 59.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
DRating Diff Pick: Favorite Baylor
DRating Line Differential: 0.2000
DRating Confidence Rating: 0.20010000
DRating Total: 57.1000
Actual O/U: 59.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite Baylor
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 2.6283
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 2.62830000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 7.76580000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 2.53610000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog LSU
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 3.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 3.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 76.0000
Actual O/U: 59.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog LSU
Z Combo Line Differential: 1.9450
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 4.65589100
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 1.94499274
Z Combo Total: 63.3075
Actual O/U: 59.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== 2024-12-31 CFP Quarterfinal 1
Penn St.
Record: 12-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 9 (25.040)
Actual Line: -11.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -15.2656
Sagarin Rank: 5
Sagarin Points: 31.0500
Sagarin Line: -10.3500
DRating Rank: 5
DRating Points: 35.5000
DRating Line: -14.6000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 35.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -4.0000
Boise St.
Record: 11-1
AASM+HCA Rank: 37 ( 9.774)
Actual Line: +11.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +15.2656
Sagarin Rank: 28
Sagarin Points: 20.7000
Sagarin Line: +10.3500
DRating Rank: 7
DRating Points: 20.9000
DRating Line: +14.6000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 31.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +4.0000
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Penn St.
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 4.2656
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Boise St.
Sagarin Line Differential: 0.6500
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 0.65000000
Sagarin Total: 51.7500
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
DRating Diff Pick: Favorite Penn St.
DRating Line Differential: 3.6000
DRating Confidence Rating: 3.60002000
DRating Total: 56.4000
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Boise St.
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 7.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 7.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 66.0000
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
== 2025-01-01 CFP Quarterfinal 2
Texas
Record: 12-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 2 (30.963)
Actual Line: -13.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -14.5593
Sagarin Rank: 4
Sagarin Points: 27.9400
Sagarin Line: -7.5200
DRating Rank: 4
DRating Points: 31.2000
DRating Line: -11.5000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 33.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -13.0000
Arizona St.
Record: 11-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 21 (16.404)
Actual Line: +13.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +14.5593
Sagarin Rank: 11
Sagarin Points: 20.4200
Sagarin Line: +7.5200
DRating Rank: 18
DRating Points: 19.7000
DRating Line: +11.5000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 20.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +13.0000
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Texas
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 1.0593
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Arizona St.
Sagarin Line Differential: 5.9800
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 5.98000000
Sagarin Total: 48.3600
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Arizona St.
DRating Line Differential: 2.0000
DRating Confidence Rating: 2.00014000
DRating Total: 50.9000
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Arizona St.
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 0.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 0.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 53.0000
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
== 2025-01-01 CFP Quarterfinal 3
Ohio St.
Record: 11-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 1 (32.817)
Actual Line: -2.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -6.1303
Sagarin Rank: 1
Sagarin Points: 27.5200
Sagarin Line: -1.1500
DRating Rank: 2
DRating Points: 25.3000
DRating Line: -0.9000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 35.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +3.0000
Oregon
Record: 12-0
AASM+HCA Rank: 7 (26.686)
Actual Line: +2.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +6.1303
Sagarin Rank: 3
Sagarin Points: 26.3700
Sagarin Line: +1.1500
DRating Rank: 1
DRating Points: 24.4000
DRating Line: +0.9000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 38.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -3.0000
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Ohio St.
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 3.6303
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Oregon
Sagarin Line Differential: 1.3500
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 1.35000000
Sagarin Total: 53.8900
Actual O/U: 54.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Oregon
DRating Line Differential: 1.6000
DRating Confidence Rating: 1.60001000
DRating Total: 49.7000
Actual O/U: 54.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Oregon
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 5.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 5.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 73.0000
Actual O/U: 54.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
== 2025-01-01 CFP Quarterfinal 4
Georgia
Record: 10-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 8 (26.063)
Actual Line: -1.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +5.3062
Sagarin Rank: 6
Sagarin Points: 28.2900
Sagarin Line: +3.6300
DRating Rank: 3
DRating Points: 24.9000
DRating Line: -2.1000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 17.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +2.0000
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -1.000
Notre Dame
Record: 12-1
AASM+HCA Rank: 3 (30.369)
Actual Line: +1.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -5.3062
Sagarin Rank: 2
Sagarin Points: 31.9200
Sagarin Line: -3.6300
DRating Rank: 10
DRating Points: 22.8000
DRating Line: +2.1000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 19.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -2.0000
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Notre Dame
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 6.8062
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Notre Dame
Sagarin Line Differential: 5.1300
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 5.13000000
Sagarin Total: 60.2100
Actual O/U: 44.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Favorite Georgia
DRating Line Differential: 0.6000
DRating Confidence Rating: 0.60007000
DRating Total: 47.7000
Actual O/U: 44.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Notre Dame
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 3.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 3.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 36.0000
Actual O/U: 44.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
== 2025-01-02 Gator
Mississippi
Record: 8-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 6 (26.768)
Actual Line: -14.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -21.6310
Massey Rank: 9
Massey Points: 34.0000
Massey Line: -20.0000
Sagarin Rank: 8
Sagarin Points: 30.0800
Sagarin Line: -14.9400
Pred. Tr. Line: -15.6452
DRating Rank: 6
DRating Points: 34.5000
DRating Line: -15.4000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 31.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +2.0000
Z Combo Rank: 5
Z Combo Points: 32.3950
Z Combo Line: -13.9942
Duke
Record: 8-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 54 ( 5.137)
Actual Line: +14.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +21.6310
Massey Rank: 36
Massey Points: 14.0000
Massey Line: +20.0000
Sagarin Rank: 53
Sagarin Points: 15.1400
Sagarin Line: +14.9400
DRating Rank: 43
DRating Points: 19.1000
DRating Line: +15.4000
Pred. Tr. Line: +15.6452
Bobblehead Expert Points: 33.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -2.0000
Z Combo Rank: 37
Z Combo Points: 20.3100
Z Combo Line: +13.9942
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Mississippi
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 7.1310
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Mississippi
Massey Line Differential: 5.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 5.50027000
Massey Total: 48.0000
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite Mississippi
Sagarin Line Differential: 0.4400
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 0.44000000
Sagarin Total: 45.2200
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
DRating Diff Pick: Favorite Mississippi
DRating Line Differential: 0.9000
DRating Confidence Rating: 0.90037000
DRating Total: 53.6000
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite Mississippi
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 1.1452
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 1.14520000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 4.57480000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 15.16200000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Duke
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 16.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 16.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 64.0000
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Duke
Z Combo Line Differential: 0.5058
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 8.40328695
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 0.50579260
Z Combo Total: 52.7050
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== 2025-01-03 First Responder
Texas St.
Record: 6-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 55 ( 4.722)
Actual Line: -10.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -15.9040
Massey Rank: 85
Massey Points: 36.0000
Massey Line: -5.0000
Sagarin Rank: 67
Sagarin Points: 40.0200
Sagarin Line: -9.4100
Pred. Tr. Line: -9.2028
DRating Rank: 67
DRating Points: 38.5000
DRating Line: -10.6000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 41.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -11.0000
Z Combo Rank: 54
Z Combo Points: 38.8800
Z Combo Line: -10.3828
North Texas
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 96 (-11.182)
Actual Line: +10.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +15.9040
Massey Rank: 101
Massey Points: 31.0000
Massey Line: +5.0000
Sagarin Rank: 110
Sagarin Points: 30.6100
Sagarin Line: +9.4100
DRating Rank: 88
DRating Points: 27.9000
DRating Line: +10.6000
Pred. Tr. Line: +9.2028
Bobblehead Expert Points: 30.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +11.0000
Z Combo Rank: 79
Z Combo Points: 29.8775
Z Combo Line: +10.3828
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Texas St.
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 5.4040
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog North Texas
Massey Line Differential: 5.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 5.50016000
Massey Total: 67.0000
Actual O/U: 64.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog North Texas
Sagarin Line Differential: 1.0900
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 1.09000000
Sagarin Total: 70.6300
Actual O/U: 64.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Favorite Texas St.
DRating Line Differential: 0.1000
DRating Confidence Rating: 0.10021000
DRating Total: 66.4000
Actual O/U: 64.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog North Texas
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 1.2972
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 1.29720000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 2.73030000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 9.09000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Texas St.
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 0.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 0.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 71.0000
Actual O/U: 64.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog North Texas
Z Combo Line Differential: 0.1172
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 3.48804118
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 0.11720870
Z Combo Total: 68.7575
Actual O/U: 64.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== 2025-01-03 Dukes Mayo
Minnesota
Record: 6-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 23 (15.561)
Actual Line: -6.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -1.6968
Massey Rank: 33
Massey Points: 24.0000
Massey Line: -3.0000
Sagarin Rank: 31
Sagarin Points: 24.8300
Sagarin Line: -1.8000
Pred. Tr. Line: -0.4788
DRating Rank: 32
DRating Points: 22.9000
DRating Line: -3.5000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 28.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 23
Z Combo Points: 24.9325
Z Combo Line: -2.7994
Virginia Tech
Record: 6-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 27 (13.865)
Actual Line: +6.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +1.6968
Massey Rank: 54
Massey Points: 21.0000
Massey Line: +3.0000
Sagarin Rank: 35
Sagarin Points: 23.0300
Sagarin Line: +1.8000
DRating Rank: 31
DRating Points: 19.4000
DRating Line: +3.5000
Pred. Tr. Line: +0.4788
Bobblehead Expert Points: 24.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 29
Z Combo Points: 21.8575
Z Combo Line: +2.7994
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Virginia Tech
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 4.8032
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Virginia Tech
Massey Line Differential: 3.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 3.50021000
Massey Total: 45.0000
Actual O/U: 42.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Virginia Tech
Sagarin Line Differential: 4.7000
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 4.70000000
Sagarin Total: 47.8600
Actual O/U: 42.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Virginia Tech
DRating Line Differential: 3.0000
DRating Confidence Rating: 3.00001000
DRating Total: 42.3000
Actual O/U: 42.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Virginia Tech
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 6.0212
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 6.02120000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.26200000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -0.73000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Virginia Tech
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 2.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 2.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 52.0000
Actual O/U: 42.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Virginia Tech
Z Combo Line Differential: 3.7006
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 0.91509575
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 3.70063573
Z Combo Total: 46.7900
Actual O/U: 42.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== 2025-01-04 Bahamas
Liberty
Record: 7-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 99 (-11.810)
Actual Line: +2.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +1.5717
Massey Rank: 95
Massey Points: 31.0000
Massey Line: +7.0000
Sagarin Rank: 94
Sagarin Points: 33.7300
Sagarin Line: -5.3200
Pred. Tr. Line: +5.2898
DRating Rank: 94
DRating Points: 27.0000
DRating Line: +3.1000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 35.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +3.0000
Z Combo Rank: 76
Z Combo Points: 31.6825
Z Combo Line: -2.1697
Buffalo
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 105 (-13.382)
Actual Line: -2.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -1.5717
Massey Rank: 104
Massey Points: 24.0000
Massey Line: -7.0000
Sagarin Rank: 115
Sagarin Points: 28.4100
Sagarin Line: +5.3200
DRating Rank: 111
DRating Points: 23.9000
DRating Line: -3.1000
Pred. Tr. Line: -5.2898
Bobblehead Expert Points: 38.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -3.0000
Z Combo Rank: 87
Z Combo Points: 28.5775
Z Combo Line: +2.1697
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Liberty
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 0.4283
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Buffalo
Massey Line Differential: 5.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 5.00009000
Massey Total: 55.0000
Actual O/U: 51.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite Buffalo
Sagarin Line Differential: 3.3200
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 3.32000000
Sagarin Total: 62.1400
Actual O/U: 51.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Favorite Buffalo
DRating Line Differential: 1.1000
DRating Confidence Rating: 1.10017000
DRating Total: 50.9000
Actual O/U: 51.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite Buffalo
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 3.2898
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 3.28980000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 8.17870000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 4.02000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Liberty
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 5.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 5.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 73.0000
Actual O/U: 51.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite Buffalo
Z Combo Line Differential: 0.1697
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 3.86899774
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 0.16965467
Z Combo Total: 60.2600
Actual O/U: 51.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
===== Completed Bowl Games Summary:
== 2024-12-14 Army Navy Game
Army
Record: 10-1
AASM+HCA Rank: 52 ( 5.892)
Actual Line: -6.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -5.2322
Massey Rank: 35
Massey Points: 24.0000
Massey Line: -5.0000
Sagarin Rank: 51
Sagarin Points: 25.3900
Sagarin Line: -5.7300
Pred. Tr. Line: -6.1345
DRating Rank: 32
DRating Points: 27.7000
DRating Line: -6.5000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 24.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 34
Z Combo Points: 25.2725
Z Combo Line: -5.2924
Navy
Record: 7-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 66 ( 0.659)
Actual Line: +6.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +5.2322
Massey Rank: 64
Massey Points: 19.0000
Massey Line: +5.0000
Sagarin Rank: 72
Sagarin Points: 19.6600
Sagarin Line: +5.7300
DRating Rank: 71
DRating Points: 21.2000
DRating Line: +6.5000
Pred. Tr. Line: +6.1345
Bobblehead Expert Points: 20.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 54
Z Combo Points: 19.9650
Z Combo Line: +5.2924
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Navy
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 0.7678
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Navy
Massey Line Differential: 1.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 1.00029000
Massey Total: 43.0000
Actual O/U: 39.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Navy
Sagarin Line Differential: 0.2700
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 0.27000000
Sagarin Total: 45.0500
Actual O/U: 39.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Favorite Army
DRating Line Differential: 0.5000
DRating Confidence Rating: 0.50039000
DRating Total: 48.9000
Actual O/U: 39.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite Army
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 0.1345
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 0.13450000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 1.94590000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 5.90000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Navy
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 2.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 2.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 44.0000
Actual O/U: 39.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Navy
Z Combo Line Differential: 0.7076
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 0.82573806
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 0.70756932
Z Combo Total: 45.2375
Actual O/U: 39.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Army 13, Navy 31
AASM+HCA Pick Navy covered (win)
Massey Pick Navy covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Navy covered (win)
DRating Pick Army did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Army did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Navy covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Navy covered (win)
Game went over 39.5
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
DRating O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
== 2024-12-14 Veterans
South Alabama
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 77 (-3.679)
Actual Line: -7.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -11.6404
Massey Rank: 87
Massey Points: 35.2500
Massey Line: -11.2500
Sagarin Rank: 85
Sagarin Points: 37.7700
Sagarin Line: -11.1300
Pred. Tr. Line: -9.5066
DRating Rank: 74
DRating Points: 34.1500
DRating Line: -9.5500
Bobblehead Expert Points: 35.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -11.0000
Z Combo Rank: 64
Z Combo Points: 35.5425
Z Combo Line: -10.9141
Western Michigan
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 112 (-15.070)
Actual Line: +7.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +11.6404
Massey Rank: 115
Massey Points: 24.0000
Massey Line: +11.2500
Sagarin Rank: 122
Sagarin Points: 26.6400
Sagarin Line: +11.1300
DRating Rank: 101
DRating Points: 24.6000
DRating Line: +9.5500
Pred. Tr. Line: +9.5066
Bobblehead Expert Points: 24.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +11.0000
Z Combo Rank: 90
Z Combo Points: 24.8100
Z Combo Line: +10.8141
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite South Alabama
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 4.1404
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite South Alabama
Massey Line Differential: 3.7500
Massey Confidence Rating: 3.75028000
Massey Total: 59.2500
Actual O/U: 57.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite South Alabama
Sagarin Line Differential: 3.6300
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 3.63000000
Sagarin Total: 64.4100
Actual O/U: 57.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Favorite South Alabama
DRating Line Differential: 2.0500
DRating Confidence Rating: 2.05027000
DRating Total: 58.7500
Actual O/U: 57.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite South Alabama
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 2.0066
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 2.00660000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 5.01050000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -9.77240000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite South Alabama
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 3.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 3.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 59.0000
Actual O/U: 57.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite South Alabama
Z Combo Line Differential: 3.4141
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 0.71484695
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 3.41407034
Z Combo Total: 60.3525
Actual O/U: 57.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score South Alabama 30, Western Michigan 23
AASM+HCA Pick South Alabama did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick South Alabama did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick South Alabama did not cover (loss)
DRating Pick South Alabama did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick South Alabama did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick South Alabama did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick South Alabama did not cover (loss)
Game went under 57.0
Massey O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
DRating O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
== 2024-12-17 Frisco
Memphis
Record: 9-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 68 (-0.018)
Actual Line: -5.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +2.1732
Massey Rank: 46
Massey Points: 28.5000
Massey Line: +2.7500
Sagarin Rank: 48
Sagarin Points: 31.1300
Sagarin Line: -2.1900
Pred. Tr. Line: -1.8031
DRating Rank: 55
DRating Points: 32.8000
DRating Line: -3.2500
Bobblehead Expert Points: 41.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -14.0000
Z Combo Rank: 43
Z Combo Points: 33.3575
Z Combo Line: -2.9034
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
West Virginia
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 62 ( 2.405)
Actual Line: +5.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -2.1732
Massey Rank: 45
Massey Points: 31.2500
Massey Line: -2.7500
Sagarin Rank: 57
Sagarin Points: 28.9400
Sagarin Line: +2.1900
DRating Rank: 58
DRating Points: 29.5500
DRating Line: +3.2500
Pred. Tr. Line: +1.8031
Bobblehead Expert Points: 27.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +14.0000
Z Combo Rank: 44
Z Combo Points: 29.1850
Z Combo Line: +2.8034
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.500
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog West Virginia
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 7.1732
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog West Virginia
Massey Line Differential: 7.7500
Massey Confidence Rating: 7.75001000
Massey Total: 59.7500
Actual O/U: 58.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog West Virginia
Sagarin Line Differential: 2.8100
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 2.81000000
Sagarin Total: 60.0700
Actual O/U: 58.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog West Virginia
DRating Line Differential: 1.7500
DRating Confidence Rating: 1.75003000
DRating Total: 62.3500
Actual O/U: 58.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog West Virginia
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 3.1969
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 3.19690000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.97180000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -1.09000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Memphis
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 9.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 9.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 68.0000
Actual O/U: 58.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog West Virginia
Z Combo Line Differential: 2.0966
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 6.02489059
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 2.09664259
Z Combo Total: 62.5425
Actual O/U: 58.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Memphis 42, West Virginia 37
AASM+HCA Pick West Virginia pushed
Massey Pick West Virginia pushed
Sagarin Pick West Virginia pushed
DRating Pick West Virginia pushed
Pred. Tr. Line Pick West Virginia pushed
Bobblehead Expert Pick Memphis pushed
Z Combo Pick West Virginia pushed
Game went over 58.5
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
DRating O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
== 2024-12-18 Boca Raton
James Madison
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 60 ( 2.688)
Actual Line: -7.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -15.4280
Massey Rank: 73
Massey Points: 28.0000
Massey Line: -8.0000
Sagarin Rank: 71
Sagarin Points: 28.4900
Sagarin Line: -8.5300
Pred. Tr. Line: -9.4176
DRating Rank: 66
DRating Points: 28.4000
DRating Line: -4.9000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 26.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +2.0000
Z Combo Rank: 54
Z Combo Points: 27.7225
Z Combo Line: -6.9716
Western Kentucky
Record: 7-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 102 (-12.740)
Actual Line: +7.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +15.4280
Massey Rank: 95
Massey Points: 20.0000
Massey Line: +8.0000
Sagarin Rank: 111
Sagarin Points: 19.9600
Sagarin Line: +8.5300
DRating Rank: 99
DRating Points: 23.5000
DRating Line: +4.9000
Pred. Tr. Line: +9.4176
Bobblehead Expert Points: 28.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -2.0000
Z Combo Rank: 81
Z Combo Points: 22.8650
Z Combo Line: +6.9716
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite James Madison
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 8.4280
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite James Madison
Massey Line Differential: 1.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 1.00022000
Massey Total: 48.0000
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite James Madison
Sagarin Line Differential: 1.5300
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 1.53000000
Sagarin Total: 48.4500
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Western Kentucky
DRating Line Differential: 2.1000
DRating Confidence Rating: 2.10033000
DRating Total: 51.9000
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite James Madison
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 2.4176
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 2.41760000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.45250000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 9.43000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Western Kentucky
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 9.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 9.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 54.0000
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Western Kentucky
Z Combo Line Differential: 0.0284
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 5.65293244
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 0.02839793
Z Combo Total: 50.5875
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score James Madison 27, Western Kentucky 17
AASM+HCA Pick James Madison covered (win)
Massey Pick James Madison covered (win)
Sagarin Pick James Madison covered (win)
DRating Pick Western Kentucky did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick James Madison covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Western Kentucky did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Western Kentucky did not cover (loss)
Game went under 49.5
Massey O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
DRating O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
== 2024-12-18 LA Bowl
California
Record: 5-6
AASM+HCA Rank: 54 ( 5.413)
Actual Line: +3.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -0.0873
Massey Rank: 61
Massey Points: 27.0000
Massey Line: +3.0000
Sagarin Rank: 64
Sagarin Points: 23.3400
Sagarin Line: +3.0300
Pred. Tr. Line: -3.7046
DRating Rank: 60
DRating Points: 27.5000
DRating Line: -1.2000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 31.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 47
Z Combo Points: 27.2100
Z Combo Line: +1.0285
UNLV
Record: 9-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 53 ( 5.500)
Actual Line: -3.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +0.0873
Massey Rank: 50
Massey Points: 24.0000
Massey Line: -3.0000
Sagarin Rank: 51
Sagarin Points: 26.3700
Sagarin Line: -3.0300
DRating Rank: 36
DRating Points: 28.7000
DRating Line: +1.2000
Pred. Tr. Line: +3.7046
Bobblehead Expert Points: 35.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -4.0000
Z Combo Rank: 38
Z Combo Points: 28.5175
Z Combo Line: -1.0285
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog California
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 3.5873
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog California
Massey Line Differential: 0.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 0.50011000
Massey Total: 51.0000
Actual O/U: 46.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog California
Sagarin Line Differential: 6.5300
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 6.53000000
Sagarin Total: 49.7100
Actual O/U: 46.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog California
DRating Line Differential: 4.7000
DRating Confidence Rating: 4.70024000
DRating Total: 56.2000
Actual O/U: 46.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog California
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 7.2046
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 7.20460000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 4.57050000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 3.40500000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog California
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 7.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 7.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 66.0000
Actual O/U: 46.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog California
Z Combo Line Differential: 4.5285
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 2.46328962
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 4.52854627
Z Combo Total: 55.7275
Actual O/U: 46.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score California 13, UNLV 24
AASM+HCA Pick California did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick California did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick California did not cover (loss)
DRating Pick California did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick California did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick California did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick California did not cover (loss)
Game went under 46.0
Massey O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
DRating O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
== 2024-12-19 New Orleans
Georgia Southern
Record: 7-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 77 (-4.170)
Actual Line: -4.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -6.3922
Massey Rank: 73
Massey Points: 27.2500
Massey Line: -6.5000
Sagarin Rank: 78
Sagarin Points: 25.3100
Sagarin Line: -7.2500
Pred. Tr. Line: -5.3084
DRating Rank: 74
DRating Points: 31.5500
DRating Line: -7.3000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 38.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -17.0000
Z Combo Rank: 60
Z Combo Points: 30.5275
Z Combo Line: -8.8884
Sam Houston St.
Record: 9-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 94 (-10.062)
Actual Line: +4.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +6.3922
Massey Rank: 87
Massey Points: 20.7500
Massey Line: +6.5000
Sagarin Rank: 110
Sagarin Points: 18.0600
Sagarin Line: +7.2500
DRating Rank: 114
DRating Points: 24.2500
DRating Line: +7.3000
Pred. Tr. Line: +5.3084
Bobblehead Expert Points: 21.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +17.0000
Z Combo Rank: 81
Z Combo Points: 21.0150
Z Combo Line: +8.6884
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
Key Defensive Players out Adjst: -0.250
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Georgia Southern
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 1.8922
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Georgia Southern
Massey Line Differential: 2.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 2.00014000
Massey Total: 48.0000
Actual O/U: 48.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite Georgia Southern
Sagarin Line Differential: 2.7500
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 2.75000000
Sagarin Total: 43.3700
Actual O/U: 48.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
DRating Diff Pick: Favorite Georgia Southern
DRating Line Differential: 2.8000
DRating Confidence Rating: 2.80040000
DRating Total: 55.8000
Actual O/U: 48.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite Georgia Southern
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 0.8084
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 0.80840000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.56170000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -5.11500000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Georgia Southern
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 12.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 12.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 59.0000
Actual O/U: 48.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite Georgia Southern
Z Combo Line Differential: 4.3884
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 4.07285907
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 4.38843950
Z Combo Total: 51.5425
Actual O/U: 48.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Georgia Southern 26, Sam Houston St. 31
AASM+HCA Pick Georgia Southern did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick Georgia Southern did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick Georgia Southern did not cover (loss)
DRating Pick Georgia Southern did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Georgia Southern did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Georgia Southern did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Georgia Southern did not cover (loss)
Game went over 48.5
Massey O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
DRating O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
== 2024-12-20 Cure
Ohio
Record: 9-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 69 (-0.552)
Actual Line: -6.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -3.5907
Massey Rank: 68
Massey Points: 31.0000
Massey Line: -3.0000
Sagarin Rank: 66
Sagarin Points: 29.5200
Sagarin Line: -3.1800
Pred. Tr. Line: -2.9940
DRating Rank: 73
DRating Points: 26.7000
DRating Line: -1.9000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 31.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -2.0000
Z Combo Rank: 55
Z Combo Points: 29.5550
Z Combo Line: -2.7341
Jacksonville St.
Record: 9-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 77 (-4.142)
Actual Line: +6.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +3.5907
Massey Rank: 83
Massey Points: 28.0000
Massey Line: +3.0000
Sagarin Rank: 77
Sagarin Points: 26.3400
Sagarin Line: +3.1800
DRating Rank: 100
DRating Points: 24.8000
DRating Line: +1.9000
Pred. Tr. Line: +2.9940
Bobblehead Expert Points: 29.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +2.0000
Z Combo Rank: 67
Z Combo Points: 27.0350
Z Combo Line: +2.7341
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Jacksonville St.
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 2.4093
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Jacksonville St.
Massey Line Differential: 3.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 3.00015000
Massey Total: 59.0000
Actual O/U: 57.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Jacksonville St.
Sagarin Line Differential: 2.8200
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 2.82000000
Sagarin Total: 55.8600
Actual O/U: 57.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Jacksonville St.
DRating Line Differential: 4.1000
DRating Confidence Rating: 4.10027000
DRating Total: 51.5000
Actual O/U: 57.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Jacksonville St.
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 3.0060
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 3.00600000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.49180000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -2.91650000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Jacksonville St.
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 4.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 4.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 60.0000
Actual O/U: 57.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Jacksonville St.
Z Combo Line Differential: 3.2659
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 0.66902417
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 3.26585441
Z Combo Total: 56.5900
Actual O/U: 57.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Under
== Final Score Ohio 30, Jacksonville St. 27
AASM+HCA Pick Jacksonville St. covered (win)
Massey Pick Jacksonville St. covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Jacksonville St. covered (win)
DRating Pick Jacksonville St. covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Jacksonville St. covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Jacksonville St. covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Jacksonville St. covered (win)
Game went under 57.5
Massey O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
DRating O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
== 2024-12-20 Gasparilla
Florida
Record: 6-5
AASM+HCA Rank: 19 (17.069)
Actual Line: -10.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -9.1739
Massey Rank: 21
Massey Points: 31.0000
Massey Line: -8.5000
Sagarin Rank: 20
Sagarin Points: 31.0500
Sagarin Line: -8.5800
Pred. Tr. Line: -5.0752
DRating Rank: 25
DRating Points: 29.3000
DRating Line: -8.6000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 31.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -14.0000
Z Combo Rank: 17
Z Combo Points: 30.5875
Z Combo Line: -9.7708
Tulane
Record: 8-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 41 ( 9.395)
Actual Line: +10.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +9.1739
Massey Rank: 52
Massey Points: 22.5000
Massey Line: +8.5000
Sagarin Rank: 42
Sagarin Points: 22.4700
Sagarin Line: +8.5800
DRating Rank: 41
DRating Points: 20.7000
DRating Line: +8.6000
Pred. Tr. Line: +5.0752
Bobblehead Expert Points: 17.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +14.0000
Z Combo Rank: 35
Z Combo Points: 20.6675
Z Combo Line: +9.1708
Key Offensive Players out Adjst: -1.500
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Tulane
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 1.3261
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Tulane
Massey Line Differential: 2.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 2.00031000
Massey Total: 53.5000
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Tulane
Sagarin Line Differential: 1.9200
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 1.92000000
Sagarin Total: 53.5200
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Tulane
DRating Line Differential: 1.9000
DRating Confidence Rating: 1.90016000
DRating Total: 50.0000
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Tulane
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 5.4248
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 5.42480000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 5.47060000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 4.37000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Florida
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 3.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 3.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 48.0000
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Tulane
Z Combo Line Differential: 0.7292
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 2.12819985
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 0.72922685
Z Combo Total: 51.2550
Actual O/U: 49.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Florida 33, Tulane 8
AASM+HCA Pick Tulane did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick Tulane did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick Tulane did not cover (loss)
DRating Pick Tulane did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Tulane did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Florida covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Tulane did not cover (loss)
Game went under 49.5
Massey O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
DRating O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
== 2024-12-20 CFP First1
Notre Dame
Record: 11-1
AASM+HCA Rank: 3 (29.626)
Actual Line: -6.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -5.1416
Massey Rank: 3
Massey Points: 35.0000
Massey Line: -12.0000
Sagarin Rank: 1
Sagarin Points: 35.2700
Sagarin Line: -10.9700
Pred. Tr. Line: -8.3498
DRating Rank: 10
DRating Points: 26.6000
DRating Line: -4.8000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 31.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -10.0000
Z Combo Rank: 3
Z Combo Points: 31.9675
Z Combo Line: -8.5823
Indiana
Record: 10-1
AASM+HCA Rank: 5 (26.894)
Actual Line: +6.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +5.1416
Massey Rank: 10
Massey Points: 23.0000
Massey Line: +12.0000
Sagarin Rank: 11
Sagarin Points: 24.3000
Sagarin Line: +10.9700
DRating Rank: 9
DRating Points: 21.8000
DRating Line: +4.8000
Pred. Tr. Line: +8.3498
Bobblehead Expert Points: 21.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +10.0000
Z Combo Rank: 7
Z Combo Points: 22.5250
Z Combo Line: +8.5823
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Indiana
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 1.3584
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Notre Dame
Massey Line Differential: 5.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 5.50007000
Massey Total: 58.0000
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite Notre Dame
Sagarin Line Differential: 4.4700
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 4.47000000
Sagarin Total: 59.5700
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Indiana
DRating Line Differential: 1.7000
DRating Confidence Rating: 1.70001000
DRating Total: 48.4000
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite Notre Dame
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 1.8498
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 1.84980000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 5.97690000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 7.18500000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Notre Dame
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 3.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 3.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 52.0000
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Pick
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite Notre Dame
Z Combo Line Differential: 2.0823
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 3.01781715
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 2.08231319
Z Combo Total: 54.4925
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Notre Dame 27, Indiana 17
AASM+HCA Pick Indiana did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick Notre Dame covered (win)
Sagarin Pick Notre Dame covered (win)
DRating Pick Indiana did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Notre Dame covered (win)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Notre Dame covered (win)
Z Combo Pick Notre Dame covered (win)
Game went under 52.0
Massey O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
DRating O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of PICKEM (no bet)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
== 2024-12-21 CFP First2
Penn St.
Record: 11-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 12 (22.144)
Actual Line: -8.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -1.1011
Massey Rank: 8
Massey Points: 33.0000
Massey Line: -9.0000
Sagarin Rank: 8
Sagarin Points: 31.2100
Sagarin Line: -6.2400
Pred. Tr. Line: -5.3059
DRating Rank: 5
DRating Points: 29.4000
DRating Line: -7.8000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 34.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -11.0000
Z Combo Rank: 6
Z Combo Points: 31.9025
Z Combo Line: -7.0282
SMU
Record: 9-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 11 (23.452)
Actual Line: +8.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +1.1011
Massey Rank: 15
Massey Points: 24.0000
Massey Line: +9.0000
Sagarin Rank: 10
Sagarin Points: 24.9700
Sagarin Line: +6.2400
DRating Rank: 14
DRating Points: 21.6000
DRating Line: +7.8000
Pred. Tr. Line: +5.3059
Bobblehead Expert Points: 23.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +11.0000
Z Combo Rank: 10
Z Combo Points: 23.3925
Z Combo Line: +7.0282
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog SMU
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 6.8989
Massey Diff Pick: Favorite Penn St.
Massey Line Differential: 1.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 1.00007000
Massey Total: 57.0000
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog SMU
Sagarin Line Differential: 1.7600
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 1.76000000
Sagarin Total: 56.1800
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog SMU
DRating Line Differential: 0.2000
DRating Confidence Rating: 0.20009000
DRating Total: 51.0000
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
DRating O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog SMU
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 2.6941
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 2.69410000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.24180000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 5.44000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Penn St.
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 3.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 3.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 57.0000
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog SMU
Z Combo Line Differential: 0.9718
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 3.34696619
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 0.97178462
Z Combo Total: 55.2950
Actual O/U: 52.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Penn St. 38, SMU 10
AASM+HCA Pick SMU did not cover (loss)
Massey Pick Penn St. covered (win)
Sagarin Pick SMU did not cover (loss)
DRating Pick SMU did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick SMU did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Penn St. covered (win)
Z Combo Pick SMU did not cover (loss)
Game went under 52.0
Massey O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
DRating O/U Pick of Under covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over did not cover (OU loss)
== 2024-12-21 CFP First3
Texas
Record: 11-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 1 (30.856)
Actual Line: -13.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -14.3047
Massey Rank: 5
Massey Points: 34.0000
Massey Line: -13.0000
Sagarin Rank: 4
Sagarin Points: 31.9500
Sagarin Line: -11.7200
Pred. Tr. Line: -10.4534
DRating Rank: 4
DRating Points: 32.2000
DRating Line: -11.3000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 24.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -8.0000
Z Combo Rank: 2
Z Combo Points: 30.5375
Z Combo Line: -11.6649
Clemson
Record: 9-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 16 (18.960)
Actual Line: +13.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +14.3047
Massey Rank: 13
Massey Points: 21.0000
Massey Line: +13.0000
Sagarin Rank: 18
Sagarin Points: 20.2300
Sagarin Line: +11.7200
DRating Rank: 15
DRating Points: 20.9000
DRating Line: +11.3000
Pred. Tr. Line: +10.4534
Bobblehead Expert Points: 16.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +8.0000
Z Combo Rank: 12
Z Combo Points: 19.5325
Z Combo Line: +11.6649
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Texas
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 0.8047
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Clemson
Massey Line Differential: 0.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 0.50008000
Massey Total: 55.0000
Actual O/U: 50.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Clemson
Sagarin Line Differential: 1.7800
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 1.78000000
Sagarin Total: 52.1800
Actual O/U: 50.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Underdog Clemson
DRating Line Differential: 2.2000
DRating Confidence Rating: 2.20011000
DRating Total: 53.1000
Actual O/U: 50.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Clemson
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 3.0466
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 3.04660000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.26840000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 10.91000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Clemson
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 5.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 5.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 40.0000
Actual O/U: 50.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Clemson
Z Combo Line Differential: 1.8351
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 2.11276884
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 1.83505072
Z Combo Total: 50.0700
Actual O/U: 50.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Under
== Final Score Texas 38, Clemson 24
AASM+HCA Pick Texas covered (win)
Massey Pick Clemson did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick Clemson did not cover (loss)
DRating Pick Clemson did not cover (loss)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Clemson did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Clemson did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Clemson did not cover (loss)
Game went over 50.5
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
DRating O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
== 2024-12-21 CFP First4
Ohio St.
Record: 10-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 3 (30.383)
Actual Line: -7.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -7.6019
Massey Rank: 4
Massey Points: 28.0000
Massey Line: -7.0000
Sagarin Rank: 3
Sagarin Points: 28.2000
Sagarin Line: -7.9300
Pred. Tr. Line: -6.7574
DRating Rank: 2
DRating Points: 30.1000
DRating Line: -10.3000
Bobblehead Expert Points: 26.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -7.0000
Z Combo Rank: 2
Z Combo Points: 28.0750
Z Combo Line: -7.9664
Tennessee
Record: 9-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 9 (25.190)
Actual Line: +7.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +7.6019
Massey Rank: 7
Massey Points: 21.0000
Massey Line: +7.0000
Sagarin Rank: 9
Sagarin Points: 20.2700
Sagarin Line: +7.9300
DRating Rank: 11
DRating Points: 19.8000
DRating Line: +10.3000
Pred. Tr. Line: +6.7574
Bobblehead Expert Points: 19.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +7.0000
Z Combo Rank: 7
Z Combo Points: 20.0175
Z Combo Line: +7.9664
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Ohio St.
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 0.1019
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Tennessee
Massey Line Differential: 0.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 0.50003000
Massey Total: 49.0000
Actual O/U: 46.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite Ohio St.
Sagarin Line Differential: 0.4300
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 0.43000000
Sagarin Total: 48.4700
Actual O/U: 46.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
DRating Diff Pick: Favorite Ohio St.
DRating Line Differential: 2.8000
DRating Confidence Rating: 2.80009000
DRating Total: 49.9000
Actual O/U: 46.5-110
DRating O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Tennessee
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 0.7426
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 0.74260000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.15940000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 6.31600000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Tennessee
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 0.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 0.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 45.0000
Actual O/U: 46.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite Ohio St.
Z Combo Line Differential: 0.4664
Z Combo Standard Deviation: 1.22046683
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 0.46638979
Z Combo Total: 48.0925
Actual O/U: 46.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== Final Score Ohio St. 42, Tennessee 17
AASM+HCA Pick Ohio St. covered (win)
Massey Pick Tennessee did not cover (loss)
Sagarin Pick Ohio St. covered (win)
DRating Pick Ohio St. covered (win)
Pred. Tr. Line Pick Tennessee did not cover (loss)
Bobblehead Expert Pick Tennessee did not cover (loss)
Z Combo Pick Ohio St. covered (win)
Game went over 46.5
Massey O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Sagarin O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
DRating O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick of Under did not cover (OU loss)
Z Combo O/U Pick of Over covered (OU win)
=== Bowl games played Summary:
Bowl Games On this day: 3
AASM+HCA Totals: Wins 2, Losses 1, Pushes 0 (66.7 %)
Massey Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 1, Losses 2, Pushes 0 (33.3 %)
Massey O/U Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 2, Losses 1, Pushes 0 (66.7 %)
Sagarin Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 1, Losses 2, Pushes 0 (33.3 %)
Sagarin O/U Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 2, Losses 1, Pushes 0 (66.7 %)
DRating Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 1, Losses 2, Pushes 0 (33.3 %)
DRating O/U Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 3, Losses 0, Pushes 0 (100.0 %)
Pred. Tr. Line Totals: Wins 0, Losses 3, Pushes 0 ( 0.0 %)
Bobblehead Expert Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 1, Losses 2, Pushes 0 (33.3 %)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 0, Losses 3, Pushes 0 ( 0.0 %)
ZCombo Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 1, Losses 2, Pushes 0 (33.3 %)
ZCombo O/U Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 1, Losses 2, Pushes 0 (33.3 %)
=== Total Bowl games played Summary:
Total Bowl Games Played: 12
AASM+HCA Totals: Wins 5, Losses 6, Pushes 1 (41.7 %)
Massey Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 5, Losses 6, Pushes 1 (41.7 %)
Massey O/U Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 5, Losses 7, Pushes 0 (41.7 %)
Sagarin Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 5, Losses 6, Pushes 1 (41.7 %)
Sagarin O/U Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 6, Losses 6, Pushes 0 (50.0 %)
DRating Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 2, Losses 9, Pushes 1 (16.7 %)
DRating O/U Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 8, Losses 4, Pushes 0 (66.7 %)
Pred. Tr. Line Totals: Wins 3, Losses 8, Pushes 1 (25.0 %)
Bobblehead Expert Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 5, Losses 6, Pushes 1 (41.7 %)
Bobblehead Expert O/U Totals: Pickems 1, Wins 4, Losses 7, Pushes 0 (36.4 %)
ZCombo Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 4, Losses 7, Pushes 1 (33.3 %)
ZCombo O/U Totals: Pickems 0, Wins 5, Losses 7, Pushes 0 (41.7 %)