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The Dave Daniels 2024 Bowl Pool
ZTout Basketball Site
ZTout NCAA 2024 Football Conference Championship Predictions
== 2024-12-07 Big 12 Championship
Arizona St.
Record: 10-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 25 (14.503)
Actual Line: -1.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: +2.7847
Massey Rank: 22
Massey Points: 21.0000
Massey Line: +7.0000
Sagarin Rank: 21
Sagarin Points: 25.2500
Sagarin Line: +1.1400
Pred. Tr. Line: +1.7768
Bobblehead Expert Points: 32.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -7.0000
Z Combo Rank: 22
Z Combo Points: 26.0833
Z Combo Line: +0.9812
Iowa St.
Record: 9-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 19 (17.288)
Actual Line: +1.0-110
AASM+HCA Line: -2.7847
Massey Rank: 13
Massey Points: 28.0000
Massey Line: -7.0000
Sagarin Rank: 17
Sagarin Points: 26.3900
Sagarin Line: -1.1400
Pred. Tr. Line: -1.7768
Bobblehead Expert Points: 25.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +7.0000
Z Combo Rank: 16
Z Combo Points: 26.4633
Z Combo Line: -0.9812
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Iowa St.
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 3.7847
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Iowa St.
Massey Line Differential: 8.0000
Massey Confidence Rating: 8.00009000
Massey Total: 49.0000
Actual O/U: 50.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Iowa St.
Sagarin Line Differential: 2.1400
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 2.14000000
Sagarin Total: 51.6400
Actual O/U: 50.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Iowa St.
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 2.7768
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 2.77680000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 5.04960000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: -1.28000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Arizona St.
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 6.0000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 6.00000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 57.0000
Actual O/U: 50.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Iowa St.
Z Combo Line Differential: 1.9812
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 1.98117350
Z Combo Total: 52.5467
Actual O/U: 50.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== 2024-12-07 MAC Championship
Miami OH
Record: 8-4
AASM+HCA Rank: 75 (-2.572)
Actual Line: -2.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -0.4939
Massey Rank: 76
Massey Points: 21.0000
Massey Line: -1.0000
Sagarin Rank: 73
Sagarin Points: 18.3000
Sagarin Line: -0.8400
Pred. Tr. Line: -1.1919
Bobblehead Expert Points: 19.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +5.0000
Z Combo Rank: 74
Z Combo Points: 19.4333
Z Combo Line: +0.6665
Ohio
Record: 8-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 76 (-3.066)
Actual Line: +2.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +0.4939
Massey Rank: 75
Massey Points: 20.0000
Massey Line: +1.0000
Sagarin Rank: 76
Sagarin Points: 17.4600
Sagarin Line: +0.8400
Pred. Tr. Line: +1.1919
Bobblehead Expert Points: 24.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -5.0000
Z Combo Rank: 75
Z Combo Points: 20.4867
Z Combo Line: -0.6665
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Ohio
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 2.0061
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Ohio
Massey Line Differential: 1.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 1.50001000
Massey Total: 41.0000
Actual O/U: 44.0-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Ohio
Sagarin Line Differential: 1.6600
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 1.66000000
Sagarin Total: 35.7600
Actual O/U: 44.0-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Under
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Ohio
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 1.3081
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 1.30810000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 2.77300000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 1.17150000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Ohio
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 7.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 7.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 43.0000
Actual O/U: 44.0-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Ohio
Z Combo Line Differential: 3.1665
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 3.16653016
Z Combo Total: 39.9200
Actual O/U: 44.0-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Under
== 2024-12-07 SEC Championship
Texas
Record: 11-1
AASM+HCA Rank: 1 (30.951)
Actual Line: -2.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -5.2633
Massey Rank: 2
Massey Points: 27.0000
Massey Line: +1.0000
Sagarin Rank: 2
Sagarin Points: 26.7300
Sagarin Line: -1.1700
Pred. Tr. Line: -2.9416
Bobblehead Expert Points: 26.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -2.0000
Z Combo Rank: 1
Z Combo Points: 26.5767
Z Combo Line: -1.8583
Georgia
Record: 9-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 7 (25.687)
Actual Line: +2.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +5.2633
Massey Rank: 3
Massey Points: 28.0000
Massey Line: -1.0000
Sagarin Rank: 6
Sagarin Points: 25.5600
Sagarin Line: +1.1700
Pred. Tr. Line: +2.9416
Bobblehead Expert Points: 24.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +2.0000
Z Combo Rank: 5
Z Combo Points: 25.8533
Z Combo Line: +1.8583
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite Texas
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 2.7633
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Georgia
Massey Line Differential: 3.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 3.50001000
Massey Total: 55.0000
Actual O/U: 50.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Georgia
Sagarin Line Differential: 1.3300
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 1.33000000
Sagarin Total: 52.2900
Actual O/U: 50.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite Texas
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 0.4416
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 0.44160000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 3.70980000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 3.30000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Georgia
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 0.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 0.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 50.0000
Actual O/U: 50.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Georgia
Z Combo Line Differential: 0.6417
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 0.64168276
Z Combo Total: 52.4300
Actual O/U: 50.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== 2024-12-07 Sunbelt Championship
Louisiana
Record: 9-2
AASM+HCA Rank: 65 ( 1.057)
Actual Line: -5.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -2.2443
Massey Rank: 58
Massey Points: 31.0000
Massey Line: -4.0000
Sagarin Rank: 61
Sagarin Points: 31.6100
Sagarin Line: -2.3400
Pred. Tr. Line: -4.2287
Bobblehead Expert Points: 27.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -3.0000
Z Combo Rank: 61
Z Combo Points: 29.8700
Z Combo Line: -2.8961
Marshall
Record: 8-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 69 (-1.187)
Actual Line: +5.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +2.2443
Massey Rank: 65
Massey Points: 27.0000
Massey Line: +4.0000
Sagarin Rank: 69
Sagarin Points: 29.2700
Sagarin Line: +2.3400
Pred. Tr. Line: +4.2287
Bobblehead Expert Points: 24.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +3.0000
Z Combo Rank: 67
Z Combo Points: 26.7567
Z Combo Line: +2.8961
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Marshall
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 3.2557
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Marshall
Massey Line Differential: 1.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 1.50007000
Massey Total: 58.0000
Actual O/U: 58.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Under
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Marshall
Sagarin Line Differential: 3.1600
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 3.16000000
Sagarin Total: 60.8800
Actual O/U: 58.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Marshall
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 1.2713
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 1.27130000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 2.50390000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 4.65400000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Underdog Marshall
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 2.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 2.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 51.0000
Actual O/U: 58.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Marshall
Z Combo Line Differential: 2.6039
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 2.60391773
Z Combo Total: 56.6267
Actual O/U: 58.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Under
== 2024-12-07 BIG 10 Championship
Oregon
Record: 11-0
AASM+HCA Rank: 8 (24.856)
Actual Line: -3.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -1.9991
Massey Rank: 1
Massey Points: 28.0000
Massey Line: -1.0000
Sagarin Rank: 4
Sagarin Points: 26.2400
Sagarin Line: -1.9500
Pred. Tr. Line: -2.3215
Bobblehead Expert Points: 30.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -10.0000
Z Combo Rank: 4
Z Combo Points: 28.0800
Z Combo Line: -3.7373
Penn St.
Record: 11-1
AASM+HCA Rank: 12 (22.857)
Actual Line: +3.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +1.9991
Massey Rank: 6
Massey Points: 27.0000
Massey Line: +1.0000
Sagarin Rank: 7
Sagarin Points: 24.2900
Sagarin Line: +1.9500
Pred. Tr. Line: +2.3215
Bobblehead Expert Points: 20.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +10.0000
Z Combo Rank: 8
Z Combo Points: 23.7633
Z Combo Line: +3.7373
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Underdog Penn St.
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 1.5009
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Penn St.
Massey Line Differential: 2.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 2.50005000
Massey Total: 55.0000
Actual O/U: 50.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Underdog Penn St.
Sagarin Line Differential: 1.5500
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 1.55000000
Sagarin Total: 50.5300
Actual O/U: 50.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Underdog Penn St.
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 1.1785
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 1.17850000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 2.45610000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 1.95000000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite Oregon
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 6.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 6.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 50.0000
Actual O/U: 50.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Under
Z Combo Diff Pick: Favorite Oregon
Z Combo Line Differential: 0.2373
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 0.23728363
Z Combo Total: 51.8433
Actual O/U: 50.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over
== 2024-12-07 ACC CHampionship
SMU
Record: 9-1
AASM+HCA Rank: 10 (24.075)
Actual Line: -2.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: -5.6784
Massey Rank: 11
Massey Points: 28.0000
Massey Line: +2.0000
Sagarin Rank: 10
Sagarin Points: 31.2300
Sagarin Line: -2.8200
Pred. Tr. Line: -3.2372
Bobblehead Expert Points: 34.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: -3.0000
Z Combo Rank: 10
Z Combo Points: 31.0767
Z Combo Line: -2.3746
Clemson
Record: 8-3
AASM+HCA Rank: 16 (18.397)
Actual Line: +2.5-110
AASM+HCA Line: +5.6784
Massey Rank: 19
Massey Points: 30.0000
Massey Line: -2.0000
Sagarin Rank: 22
Sagarin Points: 28.4100
Sagarin Line: +2.8200
Pred. Tr. Line: +3.2372
Bobblehead Expert Points: 31.0000
Bobblehead Expert Line: +3.0000
Z Combo Rank: 19
Z Combo Points: 29.8033
Z Combo Line: +2.3746
AASM+HCA Diff Pick: Favorite SMU
AASM+HCA Line Differential: 3.1784
Massey Diff Pick: Underdog Clemson
Massey Line Differential: 4.5000
Massey Confidence Rating: 4.50008000
Massey Total: 58.0000
Actual O/U: 55.5-110
Massey O/U Pick: Over
Sagarin Diff Pick: Favorite SMU
Sagarin Line Differential: 0.3200
Sagarin Confidence Rating: 0.32000000
Sagarin Total: 59.6400
Actual O/U: 55.5-110
Sagarin O/U Pick: Over
Pred. Tr. Line Diff Pick: Favorite SMU
Pred. Tr. Line Line Differential: 0.7372
Pred. Tr. Line Confidence Rating: 0.73720000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Standard Deviation: 2.95370000
Pred. Tr. Line Predictions Median: 3.24840000
Bobblehead Expert Diff Pick: Favorite SMU
Bobblehead Expert Line Differential: 0.5000
Bobblehead Expert Confidence Rating: 0.50000000
Bobblehead Expert Total: 65.0000
Actual O/U: 55.5-110
Bobblehead Expert O/U Pick: Over
Z Combo Diff Pick: Underdog Clemson
Z Combo Line Differential: 0.1254
Z Combo Confidence Rating: 0.12540998
Z Combo Total: 60.8800
Actual O/U: 55.5-110
Z Combo O/U Pick: Over